2009 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Troubling For GOM Oil Zones - 7 Named, Four Major Storms Projected

[hatrack]

The outlook for the 2009 Hurricane Season is not a good one for the Gulf coast from Louisiana to Alabama which has a 70% chance of experiencing a landfall of a tropical storm or hurricane. According to Houston based Weather Research Center’s meteorologist, Jill Hasling, the Center's outlook is forecasting that the 2009 Hurricane Season will have at least 7 named storms with 4 of these tropical storms intensifying into hurricanes.

Additionally, the outlook is forecasting that there will be 7 hurricane days and 47 tropical storm days. There have been two years in this phase, 1890 and 1914, with only one tropical cyclone. So hopefully, we will have a quieter season than in recent years. But one must remember it is not the number of cyclones that is important but rather where they make landfall. For example, there were only six named storms in 1965, but Hurricane Betsy made landfall in New Orleans as a Category 3 hurricane.

There have been two years in this phase with 11 named storms and one year with as many as 12 named storms.

Weather Research Center's OCSI 2009 Hurricane Season Forecast Indicates the Section of the US Coast with the Highest Risk of a Tropical Storm or Hurricane Landfall is from Louisiana to Alabama with a 70% Chance.

EDIT

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=71197

[pscot]

1. This sounds like the forecasting model

used by the Old Farmers Almanac. Not that there's anything wrong with that.