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Richard Heinberg: Somebody's Gotta Do It

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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-05-09 11:33 AM
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Richard Heinberg: Somebody's Gotta Do It
Here are excerpts from a passionate and compassionate look at the world-saving business, by one of its leading lights.

Somebody's Gotta Do It

When I say “save the world,” I mean preventing human civilization from collapsing in a chaotic, violent way that would entail enormous amounts of suffering and death. I also mean preserving the natural world, so as to minimize species extinctions and the loss of wild habitat. I regard both of these priorities as about equally important, since they are closely interrelated: if civilization collapses chaotically, billions of people will do an enormous amount of damage to remaining ecosystems in their desperate attempts at survival; and if nature goes first, that means civilization will go too, because we rely on ecosystem services for everything we do.

But not everyone who works full-time at saving the world has the same balance of priorities. There are some world-savers who are only (or primarily) concerned about human welfare. Some of these folks are just interested in saving people’s souls by getting them to subscribe to some set of beliefs or other: for them, the world needs “saving” because it is wicked. Others are concerned with human rights or economic justice or international conflict; for them, the biggest threats to our survival are from other people. Then there are those who have concluded that our survival challenge is primarily of an environmental kind: the disappearance of polar bears or honey bees, or the logging of rainforests, or the depletion of resources, or the contamination of the atmosphere or the oceans.

Well, there is something of a consensus after all. These days most environmentalist world-savers seem to be focused on the problem of climate change resulting from greenhouse gas emissions, almost to the exclusion of any other concern. If you ever happen to attend a meeting of environmental activists, you are likely to hear nearly every discussion turn on carbon dioxide emissions—emissions reduction targets, emissions reduction strategies, future emissions scenarios, and climate sensitivity to various levels of emissions. But even within the increasingly numerous and vocal anti-carbon crowd, there are differences of opinion regarding tactics: some (like Dr. James Hansen of NASA, arguably the nation’s top climate scientist) support carbon taxes, reasoning that cap-and-trade policies will take too long to negotiate and can be gamed in various ways; others (like author Bill McKibben, arguably the nation’s top climate activist) support caps, reasoning that new taxes of any kind are a non-starter for political reasons, at least here in the US (don’t worry: Hansen and McKibben are still friends).

This points up one of the dilemmas that go along with trying to save the world: should one just tell the truth fearlessly, or try to frame one’s message so as to make it generally acceptable? The two options aren’t always mutually exclusive, but neither are they exactly the same thing. You see, most people don’t want to be too alarmed, and they don’t want to hear about problems to which there are no ready solutions. So world-savers frequently try to tailor their public statements so that large numbers of people won’t be frightened to the point of despair and paralysis. How many times have I been told, “Keep it positive! Emphasize solutions!” Yet I can’t tell you how often I’ve sat down with an activist whose latest policy paper is all about solutions, and in heart-to-heart conversation they reveal that they don’t really think our species has much of a chance of avoiding major catastrophe, maybe even extinction.

More at the link.

I'm pretty much in Heinberg's camp. The political necessity for soft-selling what is IMO the worst crisis to hit humanity since the Neolithic is the main thing that's kept me from becoming a solutions-based activist. I can't bring myself to bullshit people about something like this.
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-05-09 11:43 AM
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1. Clearly, we need to save the Banksters.
Because who else will support the market for suspenders and overpriced cigars after the apocalypse?
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pscot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-05-09 01:58 PM
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2. The prospect that humans will act in time
to pull ourselves back from the brink seems vanishingly small. I abandoned all hope toward the end of Clinton's first term, when I realized that nothing was going to be done. I've become a rotten conversationalist. Nobody wanted to hang out with Cassandra either.
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The2ndWheel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-05-09 02:12 PM
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3. Civilization vs. Physical Reality
Old school heavyweight title fight.

It used to be civilization vs. civilization, with physical reality as the man behind the curtain. With our global network of economic activity as the singular entity which is the culmination of the history, complexity, and momentum of the last few thousand years, there is nothing left on the other side but physical reality.
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Psychic Consortium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 08:08 AM
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4. We will not become extinct. We will survive.
We will start to get it right in the 21st century,
thanks to President Obama.
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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 08:59 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. You're absolutely right about our survival
Regarding Obama, I see his election as the American expression of a global shift in consciousness that is already underway. He may or may not be able to fulfill his promise in any specific area, but the fact of his election speaks to the change in the global Zeigeist.

An individual in crisis may experience a sudden transformation, an awakening. The current crisis of civilization is now starting to impact hundreds millions of individuals around the globe, especially since the world was plunged into economic crisis on top of the existing ecological, environmental, energy and social crises. The sense of imminence created by this convergence is causing people to wake up and wonder WTF has been going on while they dutifully lived out the consumerist dream. While we were sleeping that dream seems to have become a nightmare as the materialist utopia we were promised morphed into a cruel hoax.

This uncomfortable awakening is manifesting in a global change, as reported in Paul Hawken's seminal book "Blessed Unrest". A spontaneous global movement consisting of two million or more small, independent, grass-roots groups, working on local environmental, social justice and spiritual issues of all kinds, is spreading like wildfire through every city in every country on the face of the planet.

These groups are Gaia's antibodies, humanity's imaginal cells, the seed stock for the sustainable values that will nurture the next cycle of civilization.

There is a global miracle taking place in front of our eyes, and Obama is its American symbol.
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Psychic Consortium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 09:08 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. You are correct.
The energy has shifted in a major way.

Keep posting your thoughts, you have nailed it.
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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Is survival alone all that we strive for?
Will we as the human species survive? Most likely. I don't think a full-scale nuclear war could wipe out humanity entirely. We're a tenacious, adaptable species.

But, will the human civilization as we know it survive? That is what is truly under threat, the technology-heavy society we've built around us over the past century or so. The human species may not go extinct, but if we aren't successful in addressing climate change and energy shortages, many of our greatest discoveries and advancements may well be lost.
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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Survival is necessary but not sufficient...
Edited on Wed May-06-09 01:19 PM by GliderGuider
About the survival of civilization -- would you say that the civilization of the Roman empire survived, or the civilization of the ancient Greeks, or the Chinese civilization of the Tang Dynasty? What does "survival" even mean in the context of a civilization? Cyclic change, rise and fall, appearance and disappearance is the norm for civilizations.

Some physical and cultural aspects of our civilization will endure, others won't. Some aspects of our civilization will be absorbed into newly arising civilizations, whether we think of those as extensions of our own or replacement civilizations in their own right. The next cycle of civilization, whether it is global and monolithic or regional and fragmented will carry memetic bequests from this one while at the same time being so different as to be largely unrecognizable to a 2009 soccer mom, investment banker or blogger.

For me, talk of a civilization "surviving" hints of an attachment to the idea that the way things are now is the very best (or only?) way for people to live. Rather, it's just one of many possible, very different, yet still fulfilling arrangements.
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Psychic Consortium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-06-09 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. We will survive and evolve.
We will go into the 21st century and correct
the many errors of the 20th century.

Obama is working on clean air, food, water, health care and education for our children and generations to come.

We will be a healthier, smarter people. And with a moral core that has been missing in our society to a large extent. Sociopaths will not be allowed to assume leadership positions.

Obama is a symbol of the change in the zeitgeist.
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