A reality-based prediction of China's nuclear energy growth

[bananas]

http://djysrv.blogspot.com/2010/12/some-fearless-predictions-for-nuclear.html

December 19, 2010
Some fearless predictions for nuclear energy in 2011

<snip>

There'll be a slow down in China

The mandarins in Beijing will discover they're outrunning their ability to build out their plans for 80 GWe of new reactors in ten years. There are limits to how much concrete, steel, and nuclear engineering talent can be put into play in that short a period of time. They might build 25 GWE in ten years.

<snip>

[joshcryer]

1. Barry Brock would contest the "concrete, steel" insinuation.

http://bravenewclimate.com/2009/10/18/tcase4/

So would I.

[joshcryer]

2. The real shocker is that he says that UK will build new nukes.

[joshcryer]

3. So anyone know what's "reality based" about this prediction?

It's clearly delusion based.

[bananas]

5. Dan Yurman is one of the most reality-based of the pro-nuclear bloggers. nt

[joshcryer]

6. I see nothing that reflects reality in the prediction about China.

It is a short blurb with no substance.

[djysrv]

7. As predicted China blinked about its nuclear goals

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NP_Maintain_nuclear_perspective_China_told_1101112.html

<snip>


China should 'keep a clear head' on nuclear power, concentrate more on Generation-III reactors and keep its new build ambitions for 2020 to around 100 GWe, said a state body yesterday.

The advice came from the State Council Research Office (SCRO), which makes independent policy recommendations to the State Council on strategic matters. It appeared officially in Xinhua's weekly Outlook publication.

While noting that 'the situation for the development of more nuclear power is good', the body said: 'We should keep a clear head. Not only seeing the favourable factors, but paying attention also to a variety of constraints to ensure steady progress.'

Going too far too fast 'could threaten the long-term healthy development of nuclear power.'

<snip>

[Javaman]

4. At the rate they are building coal plants (estimated at one per week)...

I also wonder about the quality of the construction of those same plants.

They may fill their energy gap, but at what price. Aside from carbon in the atmosphere.

I feel cheap labor, cheap materials and cutting corners will eventually catch up to them.