The actual post for the calculation of the load efficiency for solar plants is here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=115x26750#26763It's post #8, the last post in the "million solar roofs" subsidy for rich people bill. I'm sorry about my confusion; but it's just that I often end up repeating myself and I lose track of where I've cut another "solar only" hydra's neck.
It's not that I dislike solar power, it's just that I think it is a solution that is only available to the wealthy. It is not a practical solution to the real problems of the real world which contains more than 6 billion people who are not wealthy.
Because I have some good things going on, I anticipate becoming wealthy myself - maybe then I'll play around with solar stuff but this will be idle play. Still, in spite of official US "government" policy, it simply is not true that we can address the world's problems by only addressing the needs and concerns of wealthy people. Global climate change involves every person on the planet, not just CEO's, rock stars and supermodels.
I will take solar power seriously when they stop rating themselves in "watts" "kilowatts" or "megawatts." This is a complete deception. A watt is a unit of
power not of
energy. The cost of energy is not determined by a generating system's production for a few minutes under optimum conditions. It is determined by how the system operates over
average conditions, that is by integration of its power ratings over a period of a year.
E = P dt.
To know what a system actually produces for its cost one should use energy units such as kilowatt-
hours or megawatt-
hours or better yet, joules, petajoules, exajoules. This accounts for night and for clouds, rain, dust and smoke and smog.
When you do this you quickly recognize that solar PV electricity is enormously expensive, prohibitive for anyone of ordinary means. I note that if the load capacity of a solar cell is 15% (and it appears that none do better than that - even in sunny states) $3.00/"watt" is really more like $20/watt when averaged over the full day. This means that it requires $2,000 of installed power to light a 100 watt lot bulb, and that is wholly ignoring the cost and inefficiency of energy
storage.
I will take solar power seriously when it doesn't need to misrepresent itself. We don't need magical thinking. We need to face reality squarely face to face.
I have been hearing about the
promise of solar power for some thirty years. When I first heard it, as a young man, I believed it. For all the hoopla I've heard, little has ever actually been delivered. Meanwhile, I am terrified of what is happening outside windows all over the world: Our climate is breaking down. I have two young children. I am very concerned about the conditions they will face in their lifetimes.
If we're going to do something, we need to start building nuclear plants as fast as they can be built. Once, by this means, we have stabilized greenhouse gas output - ie re-established equilibrium - we can play with the cute stuff.