Gee, ya think?
WASHINGTON - The White House's refusal to consider government caps on greenhouse gas emissions may save the US economy short-term pain, but experts warn unchecked global heat could exact a heavy long-run toll. "While there are costs associated with reducing emissions, there are certainly costs associated with not doing anything," said Kevin Forbes, head of Catholic University's economics department. "It would be, in my opinion, folly not to try to do something."
According to Ralph Cicerone, president of the National Academy of Sciences, earth surface temperatures could be up to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit above 1990 levels by 2100, potentially worsening storms, raising sea levels and eating away ice caps.
After shunning the Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse gases, which President George W. Bush said would have "wrecked" the economy, the United States last month joined Japan, Australia, China, India and South Korea in a pact focused on technology-sharing, without set targets. The world's richest economy is also its biggest carbon dioxide emitter, pushing out 5.8 billion metric tons in 2003. China, in second place, emitted 3.5 billion, with all of Western Europe at 3.9 billion.
EDIT
What is needed, they say, is a world-spanning deal with fair goals. "You will never be able to solve this problem without all of the major emitters being involved," said Katie Mandes of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change. Experts say economic risks could be eased with a Kyoto-like allowance trading system so the regions best able to make affordable cuts can sell their achievement to those less able.
While the United States can't fix the problem alone, Reilly said it should lead the way with meaningful steps. "I think it's one of the great tragedies of our era that the administration hasn't risen to the occasion on this. It's committing future generations to extraordinary costs and problems," said James Gustave Speth, dean of the Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies. "In the same breath, I have to say I wish the prior administration had done more itself."
The great unknown is the price of inaction. "There are real economic costs associated with not taking action, including changes to water supply infrastructure, industrial capital, like pipelines, and with human health," said Janet Peace, senior research fellow, economics at Pew.
EDIT
http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/32025/story.htm