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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 03:09 AM
Original message
Renewables Promised Big Backing In Germany
Renewables Promised Big Backing In Germany

by Pete Danko, November 5th, 2011

Germany isn’t being coy about how it will survive without nuclear power: It’s going to funnel great wads of cash into renewables. So says state-owned development bank KfW, vowing to “facilitate renewable energy and energy efficiency investments in Germany with €100 billion (nearly $140 billion) over the next five years.”

After the Fukushima disaster, Germany committed to shutting down its nuclear plants, which had provided nearly a quarter of its electricity, by 2022. “With the decision to abandon nuclear power earlier this year, it was clear that the road ahead would be challenging,” Tobias Homann, photovoltaic-industry expert for the economic development agency Germany Trade & Invest, said in a statement. “But Germany is in a very promising position to be the first industrialized country to rely entirely on renewable energy.”...

http://www.earthtechling.com/2011/11/renewables-promised-big-backing-in-germany/
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 06:26 AM
Response to Original message
1. Must be nice to have a gov't that responds to horrific events with intelligence...
A year after our horrific Gulf disaster, the U.S. gov't has allowed BP to drill in the Gulf again.

Kudos to Germany!
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 06:17 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. It wasn't the government responding per se...
Merkel's rightist government is very fond on nuclear and coal. She wanted to both build more coal plants and keep the keep running nuclear as long as possible.

Massive demonstrations and major losses for her party in local elections are what changed the course she was setting.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-07-11 07:46 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. Germany's Greens: from unelectable to unavoidable
Germany's Greens: from unelectable to unavoidable
By Stephen Brown

BERLIN | Mon Nov 7, 2011 6:28am EST

(Reuters) - The Greens have grown out of their woolly jumpers and sandals and turned enough fellow Germans on to environmentalism to make the party -- already the world's most successful green movement -- the possible kingmakers in the 2013 elections.

Founded three decades ago by rebels from the 1968 student movement, 'ban-the-bomb' peaceniks, ecologists and feminists, the Greens got their first taste of power from 1998 to 2005 under Gerhard Schroeder's Social Democrats (SPD).

But they have come into their own in the past year. A strong run of local elections gave them a presence in all 16 regional assemblies for the first time as well as their first state premier, Winfried Kretschmann, who ousted Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU) in conservative Baden-Wuerttemberg.

The progressive "greening" of German politics, with even Merkel converted to the anti-nuclear cause after the disaster at Fukushima and now in a hurry to shut down atomic power plants, has given the party broad appeal in the mainstream.

"We have shown that economics and ecology don't contradict each other...

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/07/us-germany-greens-idUSTRE7A61ZM20111107
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 08:07 AM
Response to Original message
2. $140 B over 5 years... that's only 2/5ths of the subsidies for fossil fuels in US
$72 Billion a year for fossil fuels...

I would rather that was turned around. Especially for Fracking Natural Gas. I don't want the water coming out of my kitchen sink to catch on fire!
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 06:30 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. It is also roughly the same as the losses on nuclear power passed on to consumers
...when electric markets were deregulated. Nuclear power plants had such high capital costs that they couldn't compete without shifting the debt load to the ratepayers. After which, of course, the ratepayers had to pay again if they used any electricity from the plants.

Pretty hard for superior emerging technologies like wind and solar to compete in a market rigged with those kinds of right wing shenanigans.
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Yep, that's why I am NOT a proponent of the Nuclear Power Construction Industry
I am a proponent of Generation IV reactors.
I am a proponent of mass produced Generation IV reactors.
I am a proponent of passively safe, mass produced Generation IV reactors.
... and the mass produced LFTR Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. How can you be a proponent when none of those things exist?
And in the meantime you engage in an unceasing routine of passive-aggressive defense on behalf of the industry you now deny. Need an example? Do you ever recall pointing to coal whenever the failings of current generation nuclear are mentioned?
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. The question is: do YOU ever remember pointing to coal???
I can tell ya, it's a small number of times. What I point out is that Uranium is Uranium. I also point out that Uranium-235 is nuclear bomb material and while nuclear power plants have to have all of its Uranium tightly controlled and accounted for for 10,000 years, the coal industry burns it and sends it wafting up the chimney stacks (or dumps it out on the ground) -- WITH NO CONTROLS OR OVERSIGHT WHAT SO EVER.

Do you see no problem with coal there??? Honestly???
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-06-11 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. No one here defends coal, so your pretense that you are contributing to the discussion
on that basis is patently false. All you are doing is trying to defend the nuclear industry with arguments that are total BS.
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-07-11 08:51 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. And your pretense that you are concerned about radiation is belied by NOT being anti-coal
5.8 tons of Uranium "escape" from each and every coal plant every year yet you say NOTHING.
Approx. 17,000 pounds of U-235 nuclear bomb material "escape" from each and every coal plant year after year... yet you say NOTHING.

This leads me to the conclusion that you have AN AGENDA. And I've never trusted a person with an agenda. They never speak for the masses, the common man (or woman).
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-07-11 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. I'm glad to see you've admitted your antinuclear posturing is a charade.
Edited on Mon Nov-07-11 10:06 AM by kristopher
Both coal and nuclear suck. You can't justify one by pointing to the other. If you gave a hoot about the issue of the environment you wouldn't make inaccurate, inappropriate and irrelevant comparisons of coal to nuclear. We need to shift to a distributed renewable grid. The nuclear industry AND the coal industry, together with most power structures in the utilities and governments wish to perpetuate the centralized system built around those sources of energy. When you promote nuclear, you are helping to support the system built around coal.

This 2010 article from Deutsche Welle shows part of the problem. It was written after Merkel's procoal government decided to extend the life of their nuclear fleet and before Fukushima made that impossible for them:
Renewable energy technology developing faster than expected

the Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy Systems Technology released a report on Thursday that offers a little sun-related succor. The institute has recorded better-than-expected progress in harnessing the power of the sun on these hot summer days. Much earlier than expected, solar, wind and water power are expected to cover Germany's total energy demands.

...Rainer Baake of the environmental group Deutsche Umwelthilfe (German Environment Aid), which commissioned the new report, expressed his delight. "Nobody expected the development of renewable energy to be as quick as we're experiencing in Germany," he told Deutsche Welle. "Our government now estimates that in the year 2020 we will already have 40 percent feed-in from renewable sources. That is phenomenal."

The conflict of supply

But there is one problem. ... This puts the grid in a paradoxical situation. Since Germany has introduced a law designed to give renewable energy precedence on the grid, and since there will be times in the next few years - the sunniest, windiest times - when renewable sources will be able to cover 100 percent of Germany's energy needs, nuclear power stations will be surplus to requirements. But they can't be, because nuclear power stations can't be switched off at short notice.

..."That means that we need flexible power generators that can always produce electricity when wind doesn't blow and sun doesn't shine," explains Baake. "It is simply not possible to shut off nuclear power generators from nine o'clock in the morning to four o'clock in the afternoon, for example. And that means we're going to have a big conflict in our electricity system if our government decides in favor of life-time extension for nuclear power stations."



I know you are really big on denying economic realities but nonetheless they exist. Nuclear, as well as coal, retards the growth of renewable infrastructure and slows the response to climate change. That is why all of the environmental groups focused on climate action are opposed to nuclear power as evidenced by 700 Climate action NGOs condemnation of Japan for promoting nuclear power.
Japan criticized for pushing nuke plant exports despite accident

TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan has been given the Fossil of the Day "award" at a U.N. climate change conference in Panama for pushing a scheme to promote its exports of nuclear power generation technologies to developing countries as a way of curbing global warming, an international environmental group said Monday.

The Climate Action Network, which groups some 700 nongovernmental organizations in 90 countries, said in a press release it had given Japan "first place" in the award for pushing for a mechanism for exporting nuclear technology despite the ongoing crisis at the Fukushima Daiichi plant triggered by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

The network said the Fukushima calamity "certainly destroyed the myth that nuclear power is safe and clean" and rapped Japan for its failure "to learn an important lesson from the accident."

In a working group meeting on climate change in the Central American country, Japan refused to drop the option of including a scheme under which exporters of nuclear plants to developing countries can earn emissions credits in the so-called "clean development mechanism," the network said.

The mechanism...

http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20111004p2g00m0dm048000c.html


When are you going to stop making false representations about the data related to radioactivity released from coal being comparable to that from nuclear?

I know for a fact you've previously read DUer struggle4progress' post addressing the claims you are making since it was in a thread you started:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=115x292136


I've put the related material from several of S4P's posts together for continuity:
-- Posted by struggle4progress Mon May-02-11 at 03:50 PM, Mon May-02-11 08:39 PM, and Tue May-03-11 01:09 AM at the above thread.
On the comparitive radiological hazard:
Here's Gabbard's estimated global total radioactivity release from coal, 1937 - 2040:
... Thus, by combining U.S. coal combustion from 1937 (440 million tons) through 1987 (661 million tons) with an estimated total in the year 2040 (2516 million tons), the total expected U.S. radioactivity release to the environment by 2040 can be determined. That total comes from the expected combustion of 111,716 million tons of coal with the release of 477,027,320 millicuries in the United States. Global releases of radioactivity from the predicted combustion of 637,409 million tons of coal would be 2,721,736,430 millicuries ...http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/text/colmain.html

So, over a century, he estimates a cumulative worldwide radiological "release" (mostly in ash) under 3 x 10^6 curies

Let's compare that to just a few bad days at Chernobyl, where perhaps 14 EBq (14 x 10^18 Bq) was released -- or over 3 x 10^11 curies

if we had been burning coal, at present rates, since humans first walked the planet, the coal burning wouldn't have had as much radiological impact as the Chernobyl accident. (And actually, that's simply an impossible scenario: if we burned all our coal at present rates, we'd run out in a century or two)

Estimates for the Chernobyl release vary by perhaps two orders of magnitude; I found the 14 EBq figure on a standard nuclear industry site. Divide it by ten or a hundred or a thousand: the Chernobyl release still dwarfs coal releases

Since we are all discussing Gabbard, I quoted Gabbard as saying coal burning will release 2.7 million curies between 1937 and 2040

If you don't want to discuss Chernobyl, we can discuss TMI or Fukushima

For comparative purposes, consider the nuclear accident at Three Mile Island:

The total radioactivity released during the accident was 2.4 million curies. See: Thomas M. Gerusky. "Three Mile Island: Assessment of Radiation Exposures and Environmental Contamination." In: Thomas H. Moss and David L. Sills: The Three Mile Island Nuclear Accident: Lessons and Implications. New York: The New York Academy of Sciences,1981, p. 57 http://echo.gmu.edu/tmi /

For further comparative purposes, releases of a single isotope (I-131) from Fukushima may exceed 2.4 million curies; see http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/node/2206

Of course, there are plenty of good reasons to hate coal, but comparative radiological hazard isn't on the chart.


On the potential for nuclear weapons development:
...So most of this thread is debating Gabbard, whether or not people recognize it, and for that reason, I cite Gabbard's numbers: they are the numbers under discussion

I rather dislike the Gabbard webpage, as it rather incoherently wanders between mass, radioactivity, and dose estimates, and because its discussion of doses from nuclear plant relies on design basis estimates, rather than on actual emissions

In fact, much of what is on the Gabbard page is simply nonsense; here, for example, Gabbard suggests coal ash poses a nuclear weapon proliferation threat:
Because electric utilities are not high-profile facilities, collection and processing of coal ash for recovery of minerals, including uranium for weapons or reactor fuel, can proceed without attracting outside attention, concern, or intervention. Any country with coal-fired plants could collect combustion by-products and amass sufficient nuclear weapons material to build up a very powerful arsenal, if it has or develops the technology to do so. Of far greater potential are the much larger quantities of thorium-232 and uranium-238 from coal combustion that can be used to breed fissionable isotopes. Chemical separation and purification of uranium-233 from thorium and plutonium-239 from uranium require far less effort than enrichment of isotopes. Only small fractions of these fertile elements in coal combustion residue are needed for clandestine breeding of fissionable fuels and weapons material by those nations that have nuclear reactor technology and the inclination to carry out this difficult task.

Such claims are simply laughable: extracting enough fissile material, from coal ash, in order to make a nuclear weapon, would require enormous financial and energetic and technical resources -- with enormous facilities for chemical separation and isotopic enrichment.

Coal ash consists mainly of compounds like silicates, alumina, and iron rust:

a rather glassy or ceramic material, which has been formed at high temperature in an oxidizing environment, so it won't be very reactive. The first challenge is to extract a trace element from it

Coal ash is (say) 10 ppm natural uranium. A good quality uranium deposit is about 20% U308 -- say, 20 000 times richer in uranium than coal ash. The chemical problem of extracting an element, from a sample which is 20% of that element, is quite different from chemical problem of extracting an element, from a sample which is 0.001% of that element. Coal ash contains almost everything at low concentrations, so in the initial stages of a separation attempt, you're going to get a "soup" that contains all manner of stuff at very low concentrations. To overcome the entropic barrier presented by the extreme dilution, you will need some very favorable reactions

Weapons-grade uranium is about 85% U-235, with a critical mass of some tens of kilograms. Natural uranium is about 2% U-235 49% U-238, and 49% U-234. Thus, you need to start with at least 40x more natural uranium than the amount of weapons-grade uranium you hope to obtain

What's it going to take to produce ten kilograms of weapons-grade uranium from coal ash? At 10 ppm natural uranium, you can't get more than 10 g natural uranium from a metric tonne of coal ash, so 10 kg of natural uranium requires at least 1000 metric tonnes of coal ash; multiplying by 40, you'd need at least 40 000 metric tonnes of coal ash to produce ten kilograms of weapons-grade uranium. The actual numbers will be much worse, since you cannot expect quantitative extraction of a trace element, and you can't expect easy isotopic separation. You're actually contemplating a very substantial industrial enterprise

For perspective, consider this: the average abundance of uranium in crustal rock is about 2.5 ppm. If you can figure out a feasible way to extract uranium from coal ash, you can probably figure out a feasible way to extract uranium from most rocks: there's only a factor of about four in the trace concentrations.



ETA: Compare to this: How Civilian Nuclear Power Enables Nuclear Proliferation
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=115x316252

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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-07-11 11:41 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Ignorance is bliss - that is the only way I can explain your posts on this topic
Let me put it to you like I would a 5-year-old child.

Poop in the toilet gets flushed, then it's taken care of by other people and we're all clean.

Poop on the floor, the counter and smeared onto the ceiling is not good. That poop can cause diseases or hurt people.

NOW do you see the difference???

Nuclear industry = they are forced to contain their poop.

Coal industry = they spew their poop out the smokestack and pile it as high as they like in open pits... causing disease, causing loss of habitat, causing loss of fisheries, etc.
"Death and Disease from Power Plants
In this newly updated study, CATF examines the progress towards cleaning up one of the nation's leading sources of pollution. The report finds that over 13,000 deaths each year are attributable to fine particle pollution from U.S. power plants. This is almost half the impact that our 2004 study found and is reflective of the impact that state and federal actions have had in reducing power plant emissions by roughly half. However, much more still needs to be done.

The interactive map below allows you to learn of the risk in your state or county simply by clicking on the Google Map below. You can click on your state, zoom into your county, or click on a power plant to view a variety of health impacts and other data. A new tool also available is a downloadable Google Earth file, which once downloaded and launched in Google Earth, will allow you to explore a whole host of data and health impacts around the country."

http://www.catf.us/coal/problems/power_plants/existing/

Note: Data is estimated 2010 impacts. All monetary values are expressed in thousands of dollars.
County level data is health impacts/100,000 persons.
And since nuclear power plants (even the ones I'd like to close down ASAP) do NOT put out any particulate pollution this death and health care expenses are caused by coal and natural gas powered plants.

There is no denying that we need to end the use of fossil fuels... FIRST. Meanwhile, we need to close down the oldest and most dangerous nuclear power plants. BUT. Fossils end first... then we start closing down the nuclear power plants.

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