Nature - Arctic Sea Ice Loss "Unprecedented" In Past 1,450 Years

[hatrack]

Recent arctic sea ice loss is 'unprecedented' over the past 1,450 years, concludes a reconstruction of ice records published in the journal Nature.

The study, which was led by Christophe Kinnard of Chile's Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas, used terrestrial proxies including ice cores, lake sediments, tree ring data, and historical sea ice observations from the Arctic region to reconstruct past summer sea ice extent, the period when Arctic sea ice is at its minimum. They conclude that "both the duration and magnitude of the current decline in sea ice seem to be unprecedented for the past 1,450 years" and blame higher Atlantic water temperatures, which they link to human-caused climate change, for the trend.


Comparison between reconstructed late-summer Arctic ice extent and other Arctic sea ice, climate and oceanic proxy records. a, 40-year smoothed reconstructed late-summer Arctic sea ice extent. b, Chukchi Sea ice cover. c, Fram Strait sea ice cover. d, Normalized IP25 flux in the BASICC-8 sediment core, a proxy for springtime sea ice occurrence in the western Barents Sea. f, Reconstructed Arctic surface air temperature anomalies. Caption and image adapted from Kinnard et al 2011.

"These results reinforce the assertion that sea ice is an active component of Arctic climate variability and that the recent decrease in summer Arctic sea ice is consistent with anthropogenically forced warming," the authors write. This year summer sea ice levels fell to the second-lowest extent since record-keeping began in 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The lowest-ever extent occurred in 2007.

Predictions range widely, but many experts expect the Arctic to be free of sea ice entirely within a few decades. By almost all standards, however, sea ice is disappearing faster than expected, partly a consequence of a positive feedback loop triggered by retreating ice. Sea ice typically helps cool the Arctic by reflecting sunlight back into space. But when sea ice melts, the dark areas of open water absorb the sun's radiation, warming the region and worsening melting.

EDIT

http://news.mongabay.com/2011/1124-sea_ice_record.html

[FirstLight]

1. ...and yet

ice melts silently, and the pot fo proverbial water is already almost boiling...and here we sit...*ribbit*


~sigh~ I certainly hope we somehow survive the bottleneck we are facing...

[DCBob]

2. this disturbing news will likely go unnoticed by most.

and even if noticed, dismissed since we have so many other more urgent critical problems. However, this issue will likely become our top critical problem within 10-20 years but by then it may be too late to do anything about it.

[Mendocino]

3. The environment is always

cast aside when "humans" are threatened , yet the greatest threat to humans by far is degradation to the environment.

[DCBob]

4. so true. the environment is should be our number one issue...

since all else matters nothing if our environment critically degrades.

[Mendocino]

5. A bleak outlook awaits us.

Environmental degradation will rule as long as humans anoint themselves as the only species worthy of further life.