This is a well-understood phase that every new industry goes through.
It's called "shakeout and consolidation".
I gave a heads-up about this back in 2007:
http://journals.democraticunderground.com/bananas/464<snip>
All the companies playing in the solar PV industry -- from semiconductor to PV manufacturers and from materials to equipment suppliers -- are positioning themselves for the explosive growth phase, which starts in five to seven years, O'Rourke said. Thus, we're marching toward a temporary oversupply first and then rapid growth afterwards.
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But from 2009-2012 there could well be a period of shakeout and consolidation when all stocks will tumble, even the best-positioned ones, O'Rourke predicted. "Some companies will not exist when we come out the other side, and while we can identify some long-term winners today, some that will lead this industry down the road, are probably unknown today."
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Investopedia explains 'Industry Lifecycle', we are in phase iii:
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/industrylifecycle.aspDefinition of 'Industry Lifecycle'
A concept relating to the different stages an industry will go through, from the first product entry to its eventual decline. There are typically five stages in the industry lifecycle. They are defined as:
i. Early Stages Phase - alternative product design and positioning, establishing the range and boundaries of the industry itself.
ii. Innovation Phase - Product innovation declines, process innovation begins and a "dominant design" will arrive.
iii. Cost or Shakeout Phase - Companies settle on the "dominant design"; economies of scale are achieved, forcing smaller players to be acquired or exit altogether. Barriers to entry become very high, as large-scale consolidation occurs.
iv. Maturity - Growth is no longer the main focus, market share and cash flow become the primary goals of the companies left in the space.
v. Decline - Revenues declining; the industry as a whole may be supplanted by a new one.
Investopedia explains 'Industry Lifecycle'
The composition of the phases within the industry lifecycle is an ever-changing mix. The standard model typically dealt with manufactured goods, but today’s U.S. economy is more an economy of services, either on the industry's outset, or as a natural extension of a declining-product based model. The advent of the internet alone is transforming many business models from "things" to people and services.