I'll say this real slow for you: I never said ethanol could replace ALL of the gasoline demand. REsearcheers estimate a potential of one third of the gasoline demand. We will need to use everything we can think to meet this challenge. Now, should we ignore a practical, available source of energy which is cleaner than gasoline and doesn't require sending troops around into danger around the world? To do this would be, well, not very bright. Does taking advantage of an already working technology mean neglecting efforts to conserve - of course not. The two efforts are not mutually exclusive,
you can do both. Maybe I should repeat that. Developing ethanol fully and efforts at conservation are not mutually exclusive. That means you can do both. See???
NOte that cellulosic ethanol and bio-diesel (another renewable that is worth developing) can be made from plant and animal waste(this includes, by the way, the waste generated by billions of humans over the Earth). WE now spend millions of dollars burying and burning or treating millions of pounds of agricultural waste and animal waste each year. All this material could be used to produce ethanol which could run cars and trucks (and in Fuel Cell applications) instead treating it as waste. To not do this is like refusing to duck when walking under a low beam. Why bang your head when you don't need to?
And, - as
I think I said before, I certainly applaud anyone's efforts to convince people to give up their SUVs and other wasteful practices and lifestyles. I don't think however, that ignoring energy resources and technologies that make sense and will help reduce gasoline consumption makes a whole lot of sense (however much Exxon-Mobil may hate me for it!).
Here is the link to the Oak Ridge National Laboratory report:
http://www.ornl.gov/info/press_releases/get_press_release.cfm?ReleaseNumber=mr20050421-01 Growth in biomass could put U.S. on road to energy independence
OAK RIDGE, Tenn., April 21, 2005 — Relief from soaring prices at the gas pump could come in the form of corncobs, cornstalks, switchgrass and other types of biomass, according to a joint feasibility study for the departments of Agriculture and Energy.
The recently completed Oak Ridge National Laboratory report outlines a national strategy in which 1 billion dry tons of biomass - any organic matter that is available on a renewable or recurring basis - would displace 30 percent of the nation's petroleum consumption for transportation. Supplying more than 3 percent of the nation's energy, biomass already has surpassed hydropower as the largest domestic source of renewable energy, and researchers believe much potential remains.
"Our report answers several key questions," said Bob Perlack, a member of ORNL's Environmental Sciences Division and a co-author of the report. "We wanted to know how large a role biomass could play, whether the United States has the land resources and whether such a plan would be economically viable."
Looking at just forestland and agricultural land, the two largest potential biomass sources, the study found potential exceeding 1.3 billion dry tons per year. That amount is enough to produce biofuels to meet more than one-third of the current demand for transportation fuels, according to the report.
Such an amount, which would represent a six-fold increase in production from the amount of biomass produced today, could be achieved with only relatively modest changes in land use and agricultural and forestry practices.
now regarding your statement "ethanol willnot lead us in transition to the next energy source" I;m afraid a number os scientists will disagree with you (sorry about that ;( ): Fuel cells turn to alcohol
12 February 2004
Researchers in the US and Greece have invented a reactor that can produce hydrogen from ethanol. Lanny Schmidt of the University of Minnesota, Xenephon Verykios of the University of Patras and co-workers say their reactor is both efficient and cost-effective, and that it represents a major step towards a realistic “hydrogen economy”.
I'll happily post some more links on this in the future, if not to your delight, to the delight of those who are interested in exporing all the possibilities presented to us (as discovered by the imagination of the hopeful, human mind).