NASA Oceanographer - Sea Level Rise Could Accelerate - "What We're Learning Is That Ice Isn't Slow"

[hatrack]

HOBART, Australia - Data from satellites is showing that sea-level rises and polar ice-melting might be worse than earlier thought, a leading oceanographer said on Monday. Sea levels, rising at 1 millimetre a year before the industrial revolution, are now rising by 3 millimetres a year because of a combination of global warming, polar ice-melting and long natural cycles of sea level change.

"All indications are that it's going to get faster," said Eric Lindstrom, head of oceanography at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), told Reuters on the sidelines of a global oceans conference in Hobart.

Rapid advances in science in the past five years on polar ice-sheet dynamics had yet to filter through into scientific models, Lindstrom said. He also pointed to huge splits in Antarctic ice shelves in 2002, then seen as once-in-100-year events that created icebergs bigger than some small countries. The mega icebergs were first thought not to affect global sea levels because the ice broke off from shelves already floating on the surface of the ocean. But the disintegration of ice shelves that had blocked the flow of ice from the Antarctic continent could allow sudden flows by glaciers into the ocean, raising sea-levels.

"What we're learning is that ice isn't slow. Things can happen fast," Lindstrom said. "If the (polar) ice sheets really get involved, then we're talking tens of metres of sea level -- that could really start to swamp low-lying countries," he said.

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http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/40821/story.htm

[Systematic Chaos]

1. I had a nightmare about a whole ice shelf falling into the sea.

I can't remember what ice shelf, whether Antarctic or on Greenland, but it was a HUGE amount of ice that slid off the land all at once. It created a global tsunami that wiped out everything on the coast of everywhere. And I was sitting at work, listening to the end of civilization as we know it on a TV in the break room. This was about a month or so ago and I don't think I'll ever forget it.

I just hope such a thing doesn't prove to be feasible.

[The Doctor.]

2. Highly unlikely

Yet your overall fears are not unfounded.

We get to learn once and for all that we must be good stewards for our impact is profound. Too bad we're going to have to go through some pretty shitty stuff first. Most of it will be dealt with by our grandchildren.

[rman]

3. If it falls off the land into the sea, it's not a shelf

Nevertheless in all likelihood (ant)arctic gletchers will slide faster into the sea once the sea ice is gone.
It is quite worrying no matter how one looks at it.