As El Nino Rapidly Fades, Forecasters Predict Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season - AFP

[hatrack]

The chances of powerful Atlantic hurricanes barrelling into the United States this season are much greater than usual a British-led group of scientists said on Tuesday. Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) predicted five tropical storm strikes on the United States, including two hurricanes this year.

"Based on current and projected signals, TSR's March forecast predicts Atlantic basin and US landfalling hurricane activity to be about 75 percent above the 1950-2006 norm in 2007, rising from 60 percent above norm" forecast in December, said the London-based consortium.

The experts on insurance, risk management and seasonal climate forecasting said it was the highest March forecast for activity since 1984.

The consortium also predicted an 86 percent chance of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast predicted 17 tropical storms for the Atlantic basin as a whole, with nine of those being hurricanes and four intense hurricanes.

EDIT

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/US_Hurricane_Risk_Upgraded_By_Forecasters_999.html

[hobbit709]

1. Head for the hills

[MUAD_DIB]

3. How many coastal/near costal cities will be in jeopardy this year?

Houston, New Orleans - again, (All of Florida), Baltimore, New York City, Boston?

If they are flattened will they suffer Bush's indifference like New Orleans.


If N.O takes another direct hit it is done for.

[Mojorabbit]

2. Hell

I don't think I could bear to lose my last two old oaks. I think that broke my heart more than anything after Charlie. All my old oaks uprooted. I will not live long enough to see new ones grow up.

[jpak]

4. Oh Joy!!!!!!1111

can't wait!!!111

:bounce:

:sarcasm:

:puke:

[MUAD_DIB]

5. Just think about al the FEMA trailers that Haliburton will be hired to build.

Does that make you feel better?

:eyes:

[jpak]

6. After Katrina I have no confidence in FEMA, insurance companies or anyone else

I worked with two people who lost *everything* in previous hurricanes.

They had rental wind storm coverage but had storm surge where none had been experienced previously.

I was in Antarctica with one of them when the storm hit - she returned with nothing more to her name than what she had in her carry-on luggage.

I know LOTS of people that have had their hurricane/homeowner's insurance canceled without warning (or not renewed).

I know LOTS of people who have had their homeowner's insurance double or triple or more - and/or accept outrageous deductibles (>5% of the value of their homes).

I know new homeowners that have tapped out their home equity to pay the deductibles on damage from previous storms.

I recently learned that a young couple I know (newlyweds) had their homeowner's premiums jacked up from $800 to over $6000 per year (and the house had no damage from previous storms) - they can't afford the home they bought a year ago. They are desperately trying to sell and may have to take a loss.

Finally, because of the absolutely stupid deductible he had to accept, I have a friend that risks his life to protect his home during hurricanes.

He doesn't evacuate and is trapped in his neighborhood when the bridges close.

Fucking hurricanes suck....

[MUAD_DIB]

7. Many people have been let down and abandoned by the greedy and incompetent.

No offense intended.

[jpak]

8. none taken...

:hi: