A journalist close to military sources outlined Turkey’s strategic priorities as follow: to prevent the establishment of a Kurdish state in northern Iraq, keep Kirkuk out of a Kurdish federal administration and fight against the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). If this analysis reflects the position of Turkish high command then the main target is not the PKK, but Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani. This explains why a parliamentary mandate is sought before launching an operation into Iraq: The military favors not a limited and surgical strike against the PKK formations in northern Iraq but wants to establish a permanent presence in the region. So what is being contemplated is not a “hot pursuit,” which has been conducted many times without a parliamentary decree, but “sending troops to a foreign country,” which requires an a priori mandate from parliament. This unspoken objective that makes the government, aware of its implications on Turkey’s foreign affairs as well as domestic politics, reluctant to take the matter to parliament.
Hawks in the security establishment and the media who advocate a war in northern Iraq are sick of democracy, human rights and law, and of an international community that constantly remind them of these values, and would put an end to all these. They are happy that the EU process is somehow halted due to the Cyprus issue, which pleasantly provoked nationalist sentiments in Turkey. Now they want to finish off the job of isolating Turkey from the world by dragging it into a war.
I should warn these hawks that what is at stake is not only Turkish democracy but its territorial integrity. An invasion into northern Iraq will trigger a process through which Turkey may be divided. If they are prepared to take responsibility for this they should go ahead, but remember how the patriotic Unionists between 1914 and 1918 broke an empire into pieces and brought the nation to the edge of total destruction.
Capitalizing on the growing wave of nationalism and anti-Americanism among the people the hawks think that the Turkish people are ripe for a confrontation with the US without calculating the cost. Sending troops to northern Iraq is also viewed as an opportunity to corner the justice and Development Party (AK Party) government in the run-up to the parliamentary elections as a party incapable of taking decisions independent of the US and incompetent in fighting terrorism.
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