and those estimates may be low.
If all those firearms are 43 times more likely to hurt the wrong person, they sure don't appear to do it on a large scale when you consider their total number.
I suspect that the overwhelming majority of firearms will never hurt anyone. I know for a fact that none of mine have and since I keep them locked up, I doubt that they will escape and run wild in the streets.
Your "43 times more likely" factoid comes from a study of firearm deaths in Seattle conducted by doctors Arthur L. Kellermann and Donald T. Reay. The glaring problem with the survey is that it counts suicides and in fact suicides account for the majority of the deaths. People who commit suicide may use a gun when one is available, but if not they can find many ways to kill themselves. (Of the 389 firearm deaths in the survey, 333 were suicides. ref
http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html)
Suicide methods ***snip***
Firearms***snip***
Research published in the New England Journal of Medicine and the National Academy of Science found an association between household firearm ownership and gun suicide rates,<11><12> though a study by one researcher did not find a statistically significant association between household firearms and gun suicide rates,<13> except in the suicides of children aged 5–14.<13> During the 1980s and early 1990s, there was a strong upward trend in adolescent suicides with a gun,<14> as well as a sharp overall increase in suicides among those age 75 and over.<15>
Two separate studies, in Canada and Australia, conducted in conjunction with more restrictive firearms legislation, demonstrated that while said legislation showed a decrease in firearms suicide, other methods such as hanging increased. In Australia, the overall rate of suicide actually increased (following a trend that had been moving upwards for some time), and did not decrease until measures specifically aimed at providing support to would-be suicide victims was enacted.<16><17><18>...emphasis addedhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_methods#Firearms Of course it should be pointed out that Japan has very strict gun control and a very high suicide rate.
Suicide in JapanSuicide in Japan has become a significant problem nationally.<1><2> Factors in suicide include unemployment (due to the economic recession in the 1990s), depression, and social pressures. Suicide is predominately the result of a combination of factors such as healthcare provision, social attitudes, cultural influences and economic distress.<3> In 2007, the National Police Agency revised the categorization of motives for suicide into a division of 50 reasons with up to three reasons listed for each suicide.<4> Suicides traced to losing jobs surged 65.3 percent while those attributed to hardships in life increased 34.3 percent. Depression remained at the top of the list for the third year in a row, rising 7.1 percent from the previous year.<4>
The rapid increase in suicides since the 1990s has raised concerns. For example, 1998 saw a 34.7% increase over the previous year.<1> Japan has one of the world's highest suicide rates, especially amongst industrialized nations,<5>
and the Japanese government reported the rate for 2006 as being the ninth highest in the world.<6>
In 2009, the number of suicides rose 2 percent to 32,845 exceeding 30,000 for the twelfth straight year and equating to nearly 26 suicides per 100,000 people.<7> This amounts to approximately one suicide every 15 minutes.<3> However, this figure is somewhat disputed since it is arguably capped by the conservative definition of "suicide" that has been adopted by the Japanese authorities, which differs from the WHO's definition. Some people thus suggest a rather larger figure of 100,000 suicides a year. Currently, the conservative per year estimate is still significantly higher than for any other OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) country except South Korea. In comparison, the UK rate is about 9 per 100,000, and the US rate around 11 per 100,000.<3> In 2007, Japan ranked first among G8 countries for female suicides and second, behind Russia, for male suicides.<8>
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_in_Japan