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How about this one:
People are presumed to intend the reasonably foreseeable consequences of their actions.
That opinion is widely held in most societies ...
"All parents that do not get thier children vacinnated want thier children to die."
Some unvaccinated children die of diseases that they could have been vaccinated against. The reasonably foreseeable consequence of not vaccinating children against potentially fatal disesases is ... death.
Of course, other children die, too, of lots of other causes. And there is a tiny risk involved in the vaccination itself. And by no means do all unvaccinated children die of diseases that they could have been vaccinated against. But heck, low though the risk may be, those potential consequences of taking it can be pretty damned serious. Most parents consider the risk of non-vaccination to be far too serious to take, no matter how low it is, and the risk of vaccination to be so minimal that it is worth taking.
"All people that ride motorcycles want to be organ donors."
Motorcyclists die when their motorcycles are struck by other vehicles or go "out of control". The reasonably foreseeable consequence of riding a motorcycle is ... becoming an organ donor.
Again, non-motorcyclists die, and motorcyclists die of other causes, and a very low proportion of motorcyclists die in motorcycle crashes. Still, low though the risk of the consequences occurring is, a lot of people regard it as sufficiently foreseeable, and the potential consequences as sufficiently serious, to avoid taking it. Particularly since they really have no reason to ride motorcycles anyway when there are less risky options available for achieving whatever their objective might be. Unlike the non-vaccination situation, what risk might be inherent in the alternative: non-motorcycle riding?? I mean, unless the alternative chosen is to walk down the wrong side of an unlit road at night wearing a black coat ...
"All people that do not own guns want to be victims."
People who do not want to own guns become victims? Hmm. Let's just be a little more specific here -- what we have to say, to create a proper analogy, is: people who do not want to own guns become victims of harm in situations where owning guns would have prevented them from being harmed.
After all, what we were really saying in the other cases was:
- All parents who do not get their children vaccinated want their children to die of diseases they could have been vaccinated against. - All people who ride motorcycles want to become organ donors as a result of dying in a motorcycle crash.
(If people really just wanted their children to die, or wanted to become organ donors, they'd surely find some more efficient ways of achieving those goals than by non-vaccination and motorcycle-riding. And if people just want to be victims, there are far more efficient ways of doing that than by not wanting to own guns.)
Is the foreseeability of the risk materializing, in this case, higher than in the other cases? I don't think so. Really. The risk of being the victim of harm in a situation in which owning a gun would have prevented the harm? Slim. Really. But who knows?
Are the risks inherent in the alternative -- owning a gun -- more serious and foreseeable than in the other cases -- non-vaccination and non-motorcycle-riding? Surprise. Sure looks that way to me.
Risk-analysis does not depend only on the foreseeability of the risk materializing. It also involves an analysis of the foreseeability of the risks inherent in the alternatives, and an analysis of the seriousness of the consequences if the risk, or the risks of any of the alternatives, materialize.
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Yes, folks, it can take a lot more words to demonstrate the crappiness of something that was said than it took to say it in the first place.
Y'all try it. I'll say "pool parlours are the devil's playground". If you want to demonstrate the crappiness of that statement, you'll need to be disproving the existence of the devil first ...
Of course, you could always just say "Are not!!" And so could I ... if I thought that there was a point to behaving like that.
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