I'll help out.
Arguments for:According to a senior member of Hamas (who spoke to a closed forum recently, cited by the centrist Nfc via JCPA):
"Arafats explusion would have positive aspects" (Hebrew,
News First Class)
According to this Kassam operative, Hamas knows that the decision to remove Arafat was made in order to "pressure the PA to act against the Islamic resistance", but they couldn't care less. They expect him to die soon and regardless, he should have "retired years ago".
Other positive aspects to expelling Arafat listed by this senior leader:
1. All resistance groups would use this event (the explusion) to "respond harshly to the Zionists". They say they have "mega-terror" truck bombs planned.
2. Former PLO/PA supporters would join the Islamic groups after Arafat is removed, because that would bring the PA/PLO to an end.
3. On opportunity for a new leadership, "closer to the Islamic groups" would arise.
Arguments against:This senior leader acknowledges that Arafat could be of more use "outside" the territories (point 2 in the article), suggesting that Hamas would prefer explusion rather than "liquidation".
But considering the other points made by him, I'm not sure if this is any more than a piece of standard boilerplate. Considering the current popularity of Arafat, it probably isn't a good idea to call for him being killed by Israel, even in a closed forum.
Conclusion:All in all, it is very likely that the most recent suicide attack in Israel was undertaken with the clear understanding that Israel
may respond by "removing" Arafat. In addition, such a development is seen as "positive" by (at the very least) a senior member of the premier Palestinian Islamic terrorist movement.
Therefore, given these facts, it is a
reasonable interpretation to say that the latest bombing was carried out in order to get Sharon to kill Arafat.
Personally, I don't agree with that. But is it reasonable? Sure.
I believe that undercuts your curt dismissal of Uri's point of view, and (by extension) the conclusions you've drawn about him and Gush Shalom.