Zogby tracking poll 10/12: prez race tied

[annerevere]

Reuters Poll: Bush Moves Into Dead Heat with Kerry
Tue Oct 12, 2004 07:03 AM ET

By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Bush bounced back into a tie with Democratic challenger John Kerry one day before their final debate, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.

Bush gained three points on the Massachusetts senator to move into a 45-45 percent dead heat in the latest three-day tracking poll of the White House campaign.

The focus of the tight race now turns to Wednesday's pivotal final debate in Tempe, Arizona, with both candidates hoping to take advantage of their last chance to court a national television audience of likely voters.

Link: http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=EQEO5HB3NU15ECRBAEOCFEY?type=topNews&storyID=6476783

[Kierkegaard]

1. How?

What has he done to merit any kind of bounce, especially since his approval ratings are going in the dumper? Silliness.

[papau]

2. terror=nuisance cut the kerry vote - Bush did not get a bounce t

terror=nuisance ad needs to be slapped down hard.

:-)

[ibegurpard]

3. daily polls are bound to show fluctuations.

don't get concerned unless it becomes a pattern.

[Kierkegaard]

5. No real concern here.

Though polling has been all over the map, Zog has been fairly consistent. It's a bit unusual to see a 4 point swing in such a short span with his samples.

Just cautiously optimistic.

[Teaser]

4. One more time children...

do you understand that polls have noise in them? Statistics is the science and art of examining noisy fluctuations.

By any reasonable standard, yesterday we did not have a lead, we were tied and there was some noise that bumped us up.

Today, we are tied again, and some noise bumped * up.

Tomorrow, there will be more noise, and one of these 2 guys will get a bump.