We will win Florida - New poll shows we are kicking ass in Miami-Dade

[HeldsBelds]

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/columnists/jim_defede/10033111.htm

The Herald poll shows Sen. John Kerry winning Miami-Dade County with 54.3 percent of the vote to 41.5 for Bush. Four percent are undecided. Splitting those undecided voters down the middle, Kerry goes to 56 percent, Bush to 43 and Ralph Nader will end up with less than 1 percent.

If Kerry wins Miami-Dade County 56 to 43, then the likelihood of him winning Florida is very high. Here's why: In 2000, Al Gore beat Bush by almost 40,000 votes in Miami-Dade County.

According to the Herald poll, done by Zogby International, Kerry is positioned to win Miami-Dade by anywhere from 90,000 to 100,000 votes. A margin that large in Florida's most populous county would be hard for Bush to make up across the rest of the state.

[vet_against_Bush]

1. Wow! I was getting ready to ask what 2000 was like and bingo! nt

[RinaJ]

2. He'll also get more votes in NE Florida, too.

Bush will still win it, but his margin of victory will be lower than in 2000. No polls, just my own gut. That, and hopefully votes from predominantly African-American precints not being thrown out!