3-Day Results Jan 9-11 Jan 10-12 Jan 11-13 Jan 12-14 Jan 13-15
Braun 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Clark 19% 20% 22% 24% 23%
Dean 36% 34% 32% 29% 28%
Edwards 3% 3% 3% 5% 6%
Gephardt 4% 4% 4% 4% 3%
Kerry 10% 11% 13% 15% 16%
Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Lieberman 10% 9% 9% 7% 7%
Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Undecided 17% 18% 16% 16% 16%
Sample size 616 621 623 622 616
Democrats 425 430 435 435 430
Undeclared 191 191 188 187 186
Undeclared(%)31% 31% 30% 30% 30%
Beyond Ballot Preference - January 16, 2004
The drop in ballot preference for Howard Dean has stabilized
and women voters who have switched from Dean are giving John
Kerry a lift at the expense of Wesley Clark.
While 71% of women likely to vote in the Democratic primary
have a favorable opinion of Clark and while Dean leads Clark
among men by just 1 percentage point (28% to 27%), Clark
continues to trail Dean among women 28% to 19%. Women moving
away from Dean are more likely to switch to Kerry. A total of
14% of men say they will vote for Kerry and 18% of women say
they will vote for Kerry.
Based on Dick Gephardt's 1988 Iowa bounce, Kerry has regained
enough pre-Iowa ballot strength to challenge Dean and Clark
for the lead in New Hampshire should Kerry win in Iowa.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/