SurveyUSA.com Iowa Poll: Dean 24%, Edwards 22%, Kerry 21%, Gephardt 20%

[DjTj]

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

[Cuban_Liberal]

1. Dean's going to win Iowa.

Kerry will also do well, and Edwards may tie or even beat Gephart.

My $.02.

[bigwillq]

5. I agree with Dean

then I think it'll be Kerry, Gep., and Edwards.

[Kira]

8. How does this compare to the polls

I keep hearing about with Kerry first? I want to believe this one. Why do you think we can believe this one?

[Feanorcurufinwe]

15. They are all super close

like this one, 423 Certain caucus-goers, a 4.9% margin of error, and it's Dean 24, Edwards 22, Kerry 21, Gephardt 20 -- all within the margin of error - a tie. The rolling Zogby poll that has Kerry up by 5% is a 4.5% margin of error but still, it might as well be within. The real factor of the polls is the headlines, sound bites, the momentum. People like to go with a winner. If the headlines all the final week are, Kerry and Edwards surging, those candidates are definately gonna get another look from people.

[jenk]

2. Edwards is winning Iowa! He's a runaway train, Dean = deer in headlights

[Catch22Dem]

7. Would be nice

Hey, I'm a Clark guy, but I'd PROUDLY vote for John Edwards if he was our nominee. These numbers are truly amazing!

[Kathleen04]

12. Agreed..

I'm a Clark supporter and I really like John Edwards. :)

[jenk]

13. I hear ya'

And I'm an Edwards guy who would gladly jump on the Clark bandwagon if need be. His rise in NH has been fantastic!

[displacedyankeedem]

14. Could the unbelievable happen?

That would look something like this:
1.Edwards
2.Kerry
3.Dean
4.Gep

[displacedtexan]

3. Okay, I know SurveyUSA has lots of big media clients, etc....

but nowhere on their website do they ever tell you who 'they' are.
Weird.

[slinkerwink]

6. heh, I love tinfoil hat theories

;-)

[West Coast Democrat]

4. Nearly a 5% Margin of Error

they may all be neck and neck, or they may not.

[David Dunham]

11. SurveyUSA Is Not Reliable

Survey USA does automated phone polls, without a live interviewer, and therefore its poll results are suspect.

[gristy]

9. I am glad so many are going to do well.

I think it's great. Is there any downside to this? Besides one's favorite candidate not resoundly "winning"?

[Kathleen04]

10. Anything could happen..

those numbers are so close and there isn't any way to predict who is going to get their supporters out to the caucus.

[sandnsea]

16. Wow! Look at Edwards go!

I am really glad to see him taking off. I always thought he had a good unifying Democratic message that I hoped people would hear. This is really going to be a close finish!

[Thistle42]

17. What is really significant here is how good they all are!

Look at them! They are ALL so much better than Bush! Another thing...Kerry and Edwards never gave up. Gotta give them that no matter what happens on Monday.