In this OpEdnews article, "Kucinich Supporters are Mad as hell and they won't take it anymore," Daniel Patrick Welch, a Kucinich backer answers a letter from a Dean backer; both writers use arguments familiar to most of us. The analysis of the Gore-Bush 2000 campaign dynamics are interesting. Here are some excerpts.
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At the time Gore was "out of money," as you say, he was something like 17 points behind Bush. The reason Gore won (both the popular vote and any legitimate florida recount) was because, as any observer can attest, he sharply changed his focus after the convention, running a populist, left-leaning campaign which steadily chipped away at Bush's lead--his lead and his bravado about a 300-electoral vote victory were not helped by his money--although his lawyers in Florida clearly were, where he outspent Gore 10-1 after the votes were cast. You have your own "pipe dream" (using your words): that a media driven candidate with one-quarter of Bush's money can win playing the same game. Pure fantasy.
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Obviously I will have to beg to differ, again. Since you leapt immediately into the populist argument, I assume you concede my point that the last election was not won on money, but on a tough, progressive appeal. That being said, coattails are no more about money than the big picture--they had better not be. The longest coattails of all were FDRs, who, unless I am missing something, didn't appreciably outspend Hoover. The appeal you mention is genuine, but it is narrow. And your contention that Dean's candidacy is not media-driven is simply disingenuous. It must be nice, many of us have mused, to go door-to-door with a 100 mile an hour tailwind at your back. The anger is genuine, the solution comes second. The former can be tapped by any brave soul who dares to speak out: Gore, Kennedy, Byrd, and on and on.
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The Democratic party in Vermont is in its current anemic state--squeezed between expanded Republicans and Greens--precisely because of this self-marginalizing focus Dean projects. The reason Clark is running up Dean's ass is because the "for the people" gag doesn't ring true on closer inspection (not, as the pundits might have you believe, because he's "too liberal.") real populists are stronger on NAFTA; those who really want to "pitch the corporate overlords" don't soft-pedal single payer health care. Candidates from a working class background understand that more poor kids get killed as the war drags on, and occupation is just as deadly.
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Reaching out to the untapped left electorate is our key to success, not the mushy middle the Republicans would trap us into. The last election was a center-left election, and there's potential that this one will be as well. Kucinich could easily be where Dean is now if misplaced fear didn't keep progressive activists clinging to his alleged 'coattails.' You have us mistaken as pie-eyed idealists and your own crowd as tough pragmatists. Nothing could be further from the truth. It's not that we refuse to suck it up and get on board with "someone who can win." We're sick of being bullied and patronized in that way. While you are entitled to your characterizations, we have our own. We think you are misreading history, misrepresenting Dean, and missing the greatest opportunity in a generation. We don't think Dean has a chance because he's running as something he's not-and enough people will see through it to skew the election. Shape-shifters play a dangerous game, and by definition have no coattails--where would you pin them?
more here:
http://www.opednews.com/welch0104_kucinich_supporters.htm>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
What I find interesting about this article is whether the Gore surge after the convention had anything to do with his newly populist slant. As I recall, at the time the media played it up as faux populism, which I agreed with: Gore was never a populist (where was his plan for returning America to the days of true progressive taxation?). But if the columnist quoted above is right, and that even faux populism will win, and the people are ready for a populist--even a faux populist--where is our populist, faux, or otherwise?
The problem with 2004, as far as I am concerned, is that Kucinich is the only populist, and his campaign so far is totally hapless. He has allowed the media to successfully paint him as unelectable. Are any of the other candidates populists? No, I think it is clear they are not. So how did we get into this mess?
Here on DU, I have repeatedly used Dean's quotes from the past to show that he is clearly quite far from being a populist (see www.mylinuxisp.com/~cryofan/dean.html for proof). But the problem is, what are the other choices? Now that the race is probably headed for a near statistical tie between Dean, Gep, Clark, Kerry, and Edwards after Iowa, what are the populist choices? None?
Maybe by pushing Dean's anti-populist quotes from the past at him, we could force him to take a more populist stance, albeit a faux populist stance, especially on truly progressive taxation. Then if he gets elected, he might be a better president. And most interesting of all, if Dean is forced to adopt a more radical populist stance in order to counter his anti-populist quotes from the 90's, that might give him the win over Bush.