Final Zogby tracking: Kerry 25%, Dean 22% Edwards 21% Gep 18%

[WI_DEM]

Per Zogby Kerry had another strong day on Sunday, Dean has bounced back, Edwards came on strong, and only Gep faded.

www.zogby.com

Well now it is up to the voters. It is close race among all four men and lets see who will have the organization and enthusiasm to get out their vote tonight. Should be an interesting night ahead.

[buckeye1]

1. WOW!

Looks like a dead heat. Using these numbers no one will win. Small numbers Iowa will be split 4 ways.

Maybe someone should have found "Radar".

[pnziii]

2. Polls are pretty useless

This pole is pretty useless. It has a margin of error of at least 4.5%
Plus it only represents Iowa caucus voters that were home. If say Most of Dean's supporters were at a ralley or out knocking on doors then his numbers may show lower than they really are.

Also we need to know what list Zogby used to make these phone calls. What was the exact question asked and how it was asked.

Example: When given a list of names some people polled will answer with the first name only because it was the first on the list.
So was the list always read the same way? Were the names switched around for each call.

There are so many variable in poll taking.

[Polemonium]

3. This has always been my opinion of polls also

They are biased, and inaccurate. They are also all we have available to get a snap-shot of public opinion. I don't know how this thing is going to play out, but I would be shocked if the numbers represented in this polling data match the results. If they do I might just quit posting about how crappy polls are.

[Lexingtonian]

4. But when it's Dean leading in NH

somehow doubts are not warranted.

[Moderator]

5. dupe

Please continue the discussion here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=134292


Thank you


DU Moderator