Rasmussen Reports....HD-24, WC-14,JK-11,JE-10

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

Retired General Wesley Clark trails Dean by ten points, 24% to 14%. Just four days ago, Clark was within two points of Dean in the national poll. Clearly, Clark's lack of visibility in the Iowa drama is hurting his national numbers. It remains to be seen whether skipping Iowa will hurt Clark in New Hampshire next week. His decline in the national numbers suggest that he may be vulnerable to a surge from the caucus winners.

Clark is now closer to the third place contenders than he is to Dean. Four men (Kerry, Edwards, Lieberman, and Gephardt) are within two points of each other for third place.




Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking Results
1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19
Dean 24% 21% 22% 21% 21% 22% 22% 24% 24%
Clark 16% 17% 18% 19% 19% 18% 17% 16% 14%
Kerry 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Lieberman 9% 8% 9% 8% 7% 8% 10% 11% 10%
Gephardt 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10%
Edwards 9% 9% 9% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9%
Sharpton 4% 4% 2% 2% 5% 6% 6% 4% 4%
Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Braun 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% n/a n/a n/a
Not Sure 18% 18% 17% 16% 16% 15% 17% 15% 15%


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Democrats_Ballot_Preference_January%202004.htm

[jenk]

1. Edwards is rocketing to the top!

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

6. He stayed at 9% for the week.

:shrug:

If you mean over the last month, things are definately looking up for Edwards.

[jmaier]

2. I agree

that these results sort of reconfirm that national polls are largely measurements of current "buzz" and with most coverage and eyes on Iowa, Clark drops. I'd say the Rasmussen national tracking poll starts to look pretty different by the end of the week regardless of the specific IA outcome as eyes and coverage turn to NH.

[cthrumatrix]

3. dean looks solid...excellent position (edwards no change?)

I guess these polls are irrelevant...let's see what happens in iowa

[Tom Rinaldo]

4. All of this will be reshuffled after NH

The media will have exciting new scenarios to talk about and Clark will be in all the discussions again. National polls are very fickle now because outside of the hard core, most are just beginning to tune in. The last week or two they have been hearing about the Iowa candidates mostly. See my thread about my thoughts on Clark's NH only strategy if you are interested in how I see things developing from here.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

5. Agree.

I think National polls aren't that accurate this time of year. Still interesting in light of the last week.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

7. Take comfort in those national polls.

Since it is the only encouraging news the Dean camp has had in awhile.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

8. Watch tonight's news.

[SahaleArm]

9. And how does one explain Lieberman's rise? n/t

[Feanorcurufinwe]

12. It just shows how meaningless national polls are.

If Lieberman is still a candidate on March first I will eat Tucker Carlson's shoe.

[hellhathnofury]

16. People like principled stands.

[Bread and Circus]

10. It makes me wonder more about the poll reliability than anything..

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

13. Name recognition from 2000.

Ignore that part. The telling thing is Dean, Clark and Edwards... relative newcomers to the general public.

How those three move in the poll, and to an extent Kerry, as well, does tell you what the "informed" GP is thinking.

I don't think they're highly accurate but they do provide some valuable info.

[funky_bug]

11. Let me just get this out of the way

Clark is dropping. There, I said it.

(The best defense is a good offense.)

No excuses, no "polls are unreliable", no "well...well... YOUR GUY..."

Clark appears to be losing ground.

[Bread and Circus]

14. Polls can be good sample indicators but such a huge jump...

in a short bit at least raises the question about the
reliability.

Either way, all this stuff is in huge flux. Kerry's surge
in Iowa is proof of that for sure.

We have no idea who's gonna win the nomination.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

15. kick

:kick: