Predictions based on LCD

[andym]

I thought it would be interesting to predict who might
be the nominee based purely on personality/likability/celebrity power. Think of it as the lowest common denominator by which the less knowledgeable choose their President.

Why? Because a large portion of the electorate votes this way (explains Schwarzenegger, Reagan etc).

Of the nominees 4 stand out IMHO personality wise:

Quiet leaders (think Gary Cooper types):
Edwards: handsome, engaging, personable, and sympathetic
Clark: understated leader with undercurrents of idealism, passion, and compassion, handsome

Outspoken leaders:
Dean: electric New Yorker, creative and energetic, loud
Sharpton: quick-witted orator, very strong presence

Sharpton seems to be viewed by the public as a marginal candidate probably due to his past political history and possibly racism.

So, based only on this appeal to the LCD of personality/looks, I would predict a 3-way race between Clark, Dean and Edwards.

We'll soon see if this is how America decides their leaders.

[papau]

1. Perhaps choice is exec ability - Dean - vs Military -Kerry and Clark?

Seems Americans usually op for Gov's (Harding and JFK being the only Senators), or those with Exec ability shown by military service.

Edwards has neither a gov's big vision, executive, background or military career leaders background. House of Rep Gep and Dennis likewise have neither.

I see a Kerry Clark Dean 4 months - to June - with the super-delegates going Dean at the end.

[eek]

2. mustn't underestimate LCD

after all, the charm and telegenecity are big factors as to why we have who we have in the WH now and why so many still think he is nice, strong and all that stuff. IMHO

And please; I neither agree with nor understand how anyone feels this way about the dude so please hold the matches and kerosene.

The topic andym presents is a good one.
Hey the Jon Stewart show is on the case. Didja see the Rob Cordry piece last week when he was luystfully referring to Clark as "hot"?


I think I am equally shallow and politically aware.
So going with Shallow's vote I would give it to Clark followed by Edwards.
Shallow thinks they'd make pretty running mates as well.