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Edited on Mon Jan-19-04 09:34 PM by stopbush
First off, congrats to both Kerry and Edwards for their impressive showing. Frankly, I'm surprised at Kerry, not so much with Edwards. And, if the results hold up, I'm surprised at Dean's relatively poor showing. I really thought his money and organization would have had him in at least second place behind Edwards.
That said, I would resist the media's attempts to paint this as an "it's all over for Dean (Lieberman, Clark)" scenario. I've been voting Dem since 1972, and I've seen a lot happen during primaries in my day.
Anyway, to my topic:
The media built up the expectations for Dean, and they will now get busy tearing down what his campaign "stood for." Here's a few things I fully expect the media/WH/talk radio junta to float quite soon:
1. Anger doesn't work - and Dean was most angry at bush. Message to other Dems - don't be mad at bush, it doesn't work.
2. Grassroots doesn't work: Dean's campaign was based on the Internet and grassroots. It didn't work...just like the tech bubble burst (Russet...er..Russert will be all over this one), the Internet political bubble is meaningless.
3. New/young voters don't matter: Dean trumpeted all the young people he was involving, yet he finished third. What's that tell the young people?
4. Money matters...but it's better if it's your own money - despite Dean's impressive $80-at-a-time fund-raising and a $20-million war chest, you're still better off if you're sitting on a fortune that you can utilize to your advantage (Kerry).
5. Big-name Dem endorsements don't matter and may hurt - neither Carter, Gore, the Hollywood types and all the other politicos could deliver Iowa to Dean. Message from the media will be - endorsements from famous Dems hurts Dem pres candidates.
6. The Dem "establishment" won - they didn't want Dean, and Dean didn't win Iowa. Message from media will be - forget any idea of a "new kind of Dem candidate," it's all inside politics.
7. Anti-war message is a loser - anti-war guys didn't do so hot, IWR supporters did OK.
Any thoughts?
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