NH predictions

[ButterflyBlood]

here's mine:

Kerry: 25.2%
Dean: 23.9%
Clark: 20.1%
Edwards: 17.2%
Lieberman: 10.4%
Kucinich: 2.1%
Sharpton: 1.1%

[frank frankly]

1. that looks very possible...

that's the order i see, except Dean could slip to 3rd behind Clark.

:shrug:

[ryharrin]

2. Here's mine

Dean 28%
Kerry 25%
Edwards 20%
Clark 15%
Lieberman 7%

Dean does well despite Iowa, Kerry and Edwards get big boosts from Iowa, and Clark and Lieberman feel the pain of missing the Iowa media circus.

[Name removed]

3. Deleted message

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[SidDithers]

7. Hahaha, that's pretty funny

Sorry, originally made a smarmy head-buried-in-the-sand comment because I thought you left Clark out completely. But there, I see you've got him, in your own special way.

Sid

[TexasPatriot]

4. last time i did this (yesterday)

i was so wrong its not funny. I think i need to really rethink what's going on out there - ask me again friday.

[frank frankly]

5. me, too, TP!

I was COMPLETELY wrong

[Kathleen04]

6. Count me in with the awful prediction crowd..

totally off. :crazy:

[bain_sidhe]

8. Mine

Kerry 25.5
Clark 23.0
Dean 20.5
Edwards 18
Liberman 9
Kucinich 3
Sharpton 1

[Blitz]

9. I'll play

Kerry 34.79
Clark 20.43
Edwards 16.23
Lieberman 15.56
Dean 12.68
Kucinich 0.25
Other 0.04
Sharpton 0.02

That turns it into a 3 man race ... Kerry, Edwards, Clark.

[Democrats unite]

10. I tend to agree with your numbers...

And your statement.

[Tim_in_HK]

14. I love that you have . . .

% to two decimal places!

Would love to see the Excel formulas you are using to have splits like that! LOL!

[Blitz]

19. Heh ... not Excel

I've always been good at arithmetic :)

[MidwestTransplant]

11. Here's mine

Kerry 31
Clark 27
Dean 20
Edwards 15
Lieberman 7
Kucinich 0.25
Other 0.04
Sharpton 0.02

[poskonig]

12. Kerry, Clark, Dean

Kerry 32%
Clark 30%
Dean 13%
Edwards 12%
Lieberman 10%
Kucinich 2%
Sharpton 1%

[Renew Deal]

13. Dean would be finished if that happened.

It would be a train wreck.

[Toucano]

15. Is this on the record?

Here we go.

Kerry 27%
Dean 26%
Clark 22%
Edwards 12%
Lieberman 7%
Kucinich 5%
Sharpton 1%

I don't think Dean will do as poorly as others.

I also remember that NH is not a caucus, with the persuasion and peer pressure.

[tameszu]

16. After seeing what happened in IA in 1 week, I am not even going to try

You might as well throw a bunch of numbers and names in a bucket and pull them out at random.

I think Kerry, Dean, and Clark will all likely get delegates. I think Lieberman will not. I have no idea how much "bounce" Edwards will get. I dunno about anything else.

[Clark Can WIN]

17. oooooo my turn

Clark 27.?%
Kerry 27%
Edwards 20%
Dean 16%
Joe 7%
Kucinich <3%
Sharpton -

[Old and In the Way]

18. My crystal ball is pretty opaque right now, but here goes.

Clark, Dean, Kerry, Edwards...in no particular order.

Rest finish out of the money.

[Kahuna]

20. Mine..

Kerry first
Clark or Edwards second
Dean below Clark and Edwards

[goodhue]

21. looks good but

I think Edwards might beat Clark and Kucinich will beat Lieberman.

So

Kerry
Dean
Edwards
Clark
Kucinich
Lieberman
Sharpton

And Dean may well fall farther than 2nd if possible free fall ensues.

[John_H]

22. Kerry 26.8, Clark 25.3, Dean 18.5 Edwards 17.1 Lieberman 4.0

[West Coast Democrat]

23. I think Dean will lose ground; the other 3 will gain

I don't know about percentages, but I think Kerry will win over Dean, but with a much closer margin than in Iowa. Clark will come in third, and Edwards fourth---these two will be very close. Don't hold me to any of this!!