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had to read several of your posts to see where you are coming from. Sometimes we percieve a short post to suggest something different than what was intended - and sometimes there is a short attention span here at DU. But in terms of following different public policy issues and related news items I have found that this forum is unparalleled. Am about to celebrate my third anniversary - and while I have always followed political news closely (or at least I have since I did a three year stint in DC on and around the hill) I have not found the ability to tie so many related items together, nor found others with long memories that can help put a bigger picture together.
Btw, folks forget something very important, I think due to the great disappointment of the last elections... first let me reflect on that. Personally - given what I perceive as a very effective echo chamber on the right on talk radio and conservative news (particularly Fox but to a lesser extent on MSNBC where we have read about the 2:1 ratio required on various talk shows of conservative to progressive guests)... that make the ability to quickly amplify a single message much easier for the GOP (and thus make it even MORE important that while we may not have the same echo chamber - more simple, unified, and able to follow responses (eg less nuance) even more vital for us)... given this - many elections were exceptionally close. The republican majority is actually quite thin. And were it not for the easily manipulable fears surrounding 911, I really doubt that we would have seen the results we just saw. Given what I think is a very distinct disadvantage... (per shaping public perception) things are really quite close in terms of the politcal split. At least in my opinion. I think that is because there is a great illease with some of the bush policies and gop actions in congress that DO hit people in the pocket book... and as a result the "majority" status is relatively shakey.
Back to my point... people forget the great difficulty bush and congress had early in his administration. Go back to about March 2001. They quickly rewrote relatively popular Clinton regs (osha work rules, water quality (was it mercury levels or another chemical), and safety of meat that could be served in school lunches). Then they did a whirlwind tour of europe... pre Kyoto vote... bush claimed he was going to "listen and collaborate" but the reports were clear that he was bullying and not listening. Then they voted against Kyoto with real lame rationales. His "support" (thin to begin with) dropped further. They were preceived as amateurish and public perception was low. Next came the showdown on the California energy "crisis" (that we now know was primarily manufactured).... the "conservation is for sissies" message of Cheney and hardball we won't do anything in dc (and then they caved) of bush wasn't bought by anyone but the true believers who accepted the "they didn't build enough power facilitities (not true), and its the environmentalists fault (also, now, proven to be untrue.) Why did bush eventually cave on quasi short term price controls? Congressional pressure by western state republicans who KNEW he wasn't very popular and wouldn't help them with reelection.
Then he got his major big win on tax cuts... followed by the defection of Jefforts and resulting loss of the Senate. And things got even harder for them.
Then came 911 and things did significantly change.
But in this past year, until the election drew close... the ability to manage the media (eg when a negative story cameout - getting rid of it quickly - within a few days so it didn't cummulatively form a negative impression of bush and the gop) sorta dried up from about the Capture of Saddam (december 03) probably until the GOP convention. We can debate how they regained traction... that isn't the issue for me. The issue is that the public perception is reportedly declining again... making bush weak - especially on issues that he needs the congressional gop to back. Remember how long and hard (and later filled with backlash) they had to work to get their folks to pass the Medicare prescription bill? And that they failed several times on their energy bill? Why? Defections and possible defections because local constituencies weren't sold - and the fear of elction backlash was growing. I think that we are bakc to that point. And the impact of the Iraq war (and growing public sentiment that it wasn't worth it) further weakens the WhiteHouse bully pulpit. This, imo, will only escalate after the Iraqi elections (hard to figure out anyway that it might play out that will follow the line bush pushed to his supporters starting in June - that we would begin to cede power in January...)
Point, there are weaknesses, stratically that will soon be easier to exploit. The signs, imo, do not point to an overwhelming strength in the WH. It is the congressional GOP who are ruthless... and are the ones to watch. They are also the ones- if public perception can be brought to bear - that will have a harder and harder time keeping ranks. Fear of losing personal power - and NOW being the party beholden to special interests s (think democrats in the eighties) and interests that are often at core at odds with one another. If we do strategy well, this too can be exploited.
Finally, the emboldened (some in the admin, others in congress, and some of their loudest mouths in the echo chamber) are pushing very hard on policies that frankly run against the interests of a whole lot of people. They feel no restraint - and thus seem to be ready to go to the limits. In doing so, they provide the opportunity to the democrats to become the true opposition that is fighting in the ecnomic interests of americans. As more pain gets felt locally (and that is happening)... the more ability to return to the image of the dems for the people and the repubs for the biggest corporations people be damned. And they are handing it to us by the very things they are pursuing. Ironic, eh. If we don't lose sight it could be the GOP itself that reframes the power of the democratic party as the true populist party that promotes the interests of the people, of small and midsized business, of economic engines, etc.
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