1 year from today: A new Democratic president will take the oath

[CMT]

Now that is good news we all can savior.

It will happen. Bush's approval ratings are on the decline again. He will have a bounce due to SOTU, but it will be short-lived. Too many issues working in Dems favor: jobs, health care, education, environment, Iraq, corporate greed, ect.

Just one more year.

[DinahMoeHum]

1. From your mouth to G*d's ears.

n/t

:evilfrown:

[elperromagico]

2. Something I've noticed

is that every Bush bounce since 9-11 is smaller and more shallow. He jumped into the 60s when the Iraq war started, and stayed there for a while. Then he plummeted. The capture of Saddam brought him up into the upper 50s. Now he's plummeting again.

I wonder if the public is finally starting to perceive that Bush has a bag of tricks which is getting smaller every day.

[Wetzelbill]

3. definitely

The Saddam capture spike helped him. Now he will get another little short lived spike from his speech tonight.

Two things of note.

His previous speeches about the war and at the U.N. didn't help him at all. SOTU may not give him much of a boost. His core constituency love him and people like us hate him, but, finally, the moderate people in this country are beginning to distrust everything he does.

Next up, don't forget that Bush, Sr., had a 91 percent approval rating about a year and a half before his "reelection." Poppy Bush was considered so untouchable less than a year out of the election that big name Democrats like Mario Cuomo didn't even bother to challenge him. So then stepped in Bill Clinton. Soon enough, Poppy was about as popular as a case of the Clap by the time November 1992 came around.

The only thing stopping his sons from a free fall, just might be Diebold.

[Dogmudgeon]

4. Once Upon a Time in America ...

... that would have been the case.

I am convinced that Bush will take the next election -- by deceit, by treachery, by design and by default. Here's a list of why that is most likely:

- Rigged voting machines
- Suppression of exit polling to check against votes
- Ability to create a crisis on demand
- Probable trial of Saddam Hussein next Summer
- Possible troop withdrawl from Iraq
- Possible capture of Osama bin Laden
- Heavy gerrymandering in Texas, Pennsylvania, and several other states
- Enormous GOP war chest to finance saturation advertising
- Press goes full-negative on the Democratic candidate
- Possibility of violence at Republican National Convention in NYC
- Improving economy, that is, Dow-Jones Industrial Average
- Piqued Democrats whose candidate(s) lost stay home

The day after the election is over, "buyer's remorse" will set in. On March 31, 2005, the Draft will be reinstated, gasoline will be $4/gallon, and the DJIA will begin its death-slide to 2500.

Is there any good news? Yes. Bush is probably the last Republican president. The party itself will probably disband around 2012 after losing members to the rival New Whig Party.

Unless we give it the proverbial 110%.

--bkl