Social Security HAS been running a surplus for many years now. And when its surplus was invested in Treasury Bonds, that meant that the surplus was then seized for other appropriations by Congress.
Talent is worried about going into the general fund for SS benefits. However, where has he been while SS surplus funds have been misappropriated in the general fund?
This is where his argument really falls apart:
As the 78 million baby boomers retire, there will be only
two workers for each beneficiary and Social Security will begin
running deficits. Projections from the Social Security Trustees
show that in 2018 the government will have to use general revenue
funds to pay benefits, as the amount of money paid out in benefits
will be greater than the amount taken in through the payroll tax.Wrong. The money used to pay out benefits at this time will NOT be taken from the general fund, they will be taken from the SURPLUS that social security has been running ever since its inception! Talent acts as if this surplus was the government's to do with whatever it wanted. It was not -- it was invested in Treasury Bonds with the idea that those uncashed bonds were still the property of the social security fund. All that is required at this point, should nothing be done, is for SS to start dipping into the surplus that should have been set aside for a time just like this.
It is estimated that by 2020, the government will need, in 2004
dollars, $56 billion from the general fund to cover Social Security
benefits. This figure is expected to increase to $256 billion by
2030. Unless Congress takes steps soon, Social Security benefits
will have to be drastically reduced for the baby boom generation. Once again, Social Security is not "taking" money from the general fund, it is simply reappropriating what belonged to it to begin with by cashing in those Treasury Bonds -- no different than if you or I decided to cash in our IOU from the federal government by cashing our Treasury bonds.
Finally, his dates are WAY off. The most conservative estimates by the CBO have shown that, if absolutely NOTHING is done, there will not have to be any benefits cuts until 2042. Once again, that's not a bankruptcy date -- that's simply the date at which it is believed that benefits being paid out will finally outpace the amount of money in the fund. However, it will not be "broke" at this time, because it will STILL be a system in which the money being paid in will be directly used for benefits.
In short, your Senator is full of shit, and should be told as much. Bob Somerby has been doing some great work at deconstructing the Social Security scam at
http://www.dailyhowler.com. If you want to send a detailed response to your Senator, or perhaps write an op-ed in response to his letter, that's an excellent place to start for already-mined and sorted data.