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... at least directly. Yes, Wall Street would love more management fees. However, there's something else at work here that suggests that this is an outright swindle--a scheme to divert tax money to prop up the markets.
For ages, I've been wondering why the pukes keep saying that SS is going to go bust by 2018. There's absolutely no evidence of it, by any realistic measurement--whether from the CBO, or SS itself. Why is that date important?
Here's why. The first of the baby boomers, those that have done well in life, will begin to retire, at age 62, by 2008. Most will have worked for companies which offered, as a primary retirement benefit, a 401(k) plan. Upon retirement, they no longer are contributors to the plan, nor are their employers. They are also required by law to begin drawing out of that plan within roughly five years after retirement. Even those born in 1946 who retire at 65 or 66 stop contributions to their plans by 2011 or 2012.
That means that a steady, guaranteed flow of money into the markets begins to cease in 2008, and that flow into the system further declines through 2014 to 2015 (and keep in mind that boomers born from 1946 through 1949 are a significant portion of the boomer demographic). By 2018, the first three years' worth of boomers are starting to draw money out of their 401(k) plans.
Without a new source to replace that money, the market, overall, will begin to decline. Once it does, it's too late--there's no trust in individuals that it will improve in the near term.
They've got to do it now--otherwise, the market starts to sag badly at a time before the implementation of any rescue plan.
My guess is that the 2018 date comes from the actuarial people on Wall Street--that's when the market, not Social Security, goes critical. In this sense, it's about management fees--if the market goes into a steady, slow tailspin from loss of income, investors will begin putting money into much safer and more traditional investment vehicles, like savings accounts, and then the market management services start to hemorrhage.
The Bushies may have an ideological hatred of Social Security as a "socialist" program (it's very, very likely that Bush himself does, given his background and some of his comments made in graduate school), but this proposal of the Bushies is still a rescue plan for Wall Street.
Cheers.
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