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Clinton, Kerry and Edwards Lead Dem early line for '08

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:13 PM
Original message
Clinton, Kerry and Edwards Lead Dem early line for '08
According to Gallup:
Clinton: 40%
Kerry 25%
Edwards 17%
Other 6%

On GOP side
Giulani 34%
McCain 29%
Jeb 12%
Frist 6%

http://www.dailykos.com/
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Sparkly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. Gallup asked those three names specifically, btw
It kind of takes "name recognition" to a higher factor when they ask it this way, seems to me.

28. Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for President in the year 2008: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Edwards, or would you support someone else?

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2005-02-07-poll-results.htm#2008
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. true
It would be interesting to see how other names would have done if included. Even though they did ask "would you support someone else" that doesn't give a complete picture.
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Sparkly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Right, and they ask that after they've set up a different decision
about who you'd be "most likely" to support among names about to be read.

So respectfully, I'd suggest your thread title isn't quite right. These three lead in the Gallup poll question. :)
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leyton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. I think those numbers will change.
Lieberman, Gore, and Hillary led the field in 2002-4 before Kerry was nominated.

But I hope to God that the Republicans will nominate Guiliani.
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KissMeKate Donating Member (741 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. the poll is stacked.
ridiculous. Why are they pushing hillary on us?
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #4
13. Because she'll lose
and Gallup is Republican-led.
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janx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:19 PM
Response to Original message
5. It's far too early for any of this polling activity. n/t
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. that's why it's the early line
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woodsprite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
6. I'm looking for a Kerry/Boxer or Edwards/Boxer ticket
I know it sounds sexist, but I think that putting a woman against a man would have alot of people voting for the guy just because they don't think a woman could do the job. I think the people that are going to "tip" the scale this next election (providing we correct the fraudulent tabulating) are the moderate repubs and the conservatives that *co has pi$$ed off and stomped on.

Boxer is a great lady, a strong voice for the people, and I think the safest bet for a female would be as a VP candidate. Then, the next election (or 2 :) ) she could move up to Pres. candidate.

I didn't realize about Clark switching at the last minute. I really like the idea of him running, but is it possible he could have been a repub plant? I know I may get lamblasted for that, and I know I have to research him more, but I'm just throwing that out there to see what you guys think.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. No lambast
But Clark was never a Republican in his life.
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:33 PM
Response to Reply #6
17. Clark was not and is not a Republican plant
If you read his position papers, which are still up at his website, you would see his positions are far to liberal for any Republican.

http://clark04.com/issues/
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:23 PM
Response to Original message
8. what is interesting are the Republican numbers
based on those numbers if McCain runs then he has the 29 percent but he can win if he gets some of the 34 percent that Giuliani has.

many say McCain has no chance because he can't get out of the primary. but i think those who support Giuliani are very likely to support McCain.

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. McCain has a better chance in GOP primary than Giulani, imo.
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:33 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. i agree because McCain really IS Conservative
and has a record to back it up.

i don't want mccain to be the nominee though, in fact he is probably the last person i want to see as the Republican nominee.

i would like to see Giuliani, or even better would be Pataki. but i don't think we will be lucky enough to get that.

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. I agree
McCain would be tough to beat. The media loves him and many democrats actually think he is a moderate.
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TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
11. oh please, Gulliani I'm sure has a lot of skeletons in the closet
wouldn't be bad to see him try to run.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
12. Clinton, Kerry and Edwards were the only choices
So they would have to lead, right?

I hope they didn't actually ask the question this way:

28. Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for President in the year 2008: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Edwards, or would you support someone else?


Here's a link to the poll results:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2005-02-07-poll-results.htm#2008

Heh. Bill Clinton's approval rating 56%; GWB's 59%.

Terrorism and Iraq still leading as extremely important issues.

Interesting poll.

Thanks for posting. :hi:



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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:33 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. It is a incomplete poll and a very limited one
it would be interesting to see how other names mentioned would fare other than stating "or would you support somebody else" while that gives the respondent an opportunity to say they would support someone else (and who knows who leads among the 6% who chose that option?) it is best to provide as wide a field as possible and they will as it gets closer to the election and we know who is actually running.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-05 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. True
But if there are only three possibilities, there will be three leading the poll. I'm just puzzled at what they thought they were doing here.
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