USA Today NH Poll - Kerry leads Dean by 5% ( with 30+% undecided)

[cthrumatrix]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2004-01-21-nh-poll.htm

Poll numbers as we know can be "misleading". But the most telling number for me is the number of "undecided people" with 4 days left to go.

Dean may get a little rebound in the polls with his 20/20 (1/2 hour interview) and Kerry may get a nice lift from his debate performance.

I read on the Dean Blog that they are overwhelmed with volunteers who want to help...but I know the numbers in Iowa and that wasn't a predictor....we'll have to see.

[cthrumatrix]

1. it's the undecided's stupid.....we'll hear that Tuesday night

[DJcairo]

2. I'd point out that one day from this tracking is pre-Iowa (1/19)

Presumably most calls were made before the 10 o' clock announcement of Kerry as the winner. It's also pre-yeaaaaaaaahhhhh! You have to remember with these tracking polls that if one day is 1/19 it keeps Kerry close. In the next few days all the polls will have Kerry between 10-15 points ahead.

[cthrumatrix]

3. pre-announcements need to be "eliminated" it plays with the voting

[WI_DEM]

4. I think Dean's debate performance and "primetime":

interview will help him close the gap. He didn't hit a homer in the debate, but then I didn't think anyone else did either. He held his own and got his points on his record across. Now his "Primetime" appearance with Judy Dean was a big-time Home-run. The Letterman thing proves he can laugh at himself, but I don't know how effective that was.

[cthrumatrix]

5. CSPAN this am "people were looking for reasons to come back to Dean"

If it was enough...we'll know on Tuesday. My reactionw was positive...but I like his stance on issues and the passion to wake-up America and defeat bush.

[Ripley]

6. So the gap is closing even tho Dean supposedly

had a MELTDOWN? Oh, that's right...the crazy man had the nerve to do damage control by having an interview with his wife. Actually I wonder if that wasn't taped before his speech, anyone know?

I guess if it worked for Clinton, Dean should not do it, because everyone on this board seems to hate Clinton now. :crazy:

[cthrumatrix]

8. It was yesterday....he had the same bad cold... read / watch the

interview...I think 20/20 did it to try to "bury him" based on listening to ian Sawyers questions...however I think it helped him by showing people a much bigger picture of his views, his family, his relatiosnhip etc...

[seventhson]

7. People in NH have Kerry fatigue

and so do I.

I believe people who know the two men best will choose Dean.

Dean was clearly hurt by the rebel yell. BUT it was a REBEL yel in the best sense.

He was rallying his troops.

Dean is MUCH better on the issues. Kerry is scary. And I think he is perceived as a hypocrite by those who know him best.

Dean will reemerge and win on Tuesday, I predict, because New Hampshire voters are smarter politically than Iowans IMHO.

[cthrumatrix]

10. he really did not get the same questions as the others...so

comapring for me was hard

[cthrumatrix]

9. kick...

[cthrumatrix]

11. kick for pm crowd.