Here is Friday 1/23 Suffolk University (NBC)Press Release on NH Poll

[papau]

Here is Suffolk Press Release on Poll


http://www.suffolk.edu/suprc/pres/jan23_04/update.html

Political Research Center
For Immediate Release – January 23, 2004
Suffolk contact: Mariellen Norris at 617-573-8450 or
Tony Ferullo at 617-573-8448
NBC contact: Ro Dooley Webster at 617-248–5565
7NEWS and Suffolk University Daily Tracking Poll Results
Kerry Holding Lead over Dean; Clark Advances

MANCHESTER, NH - John Kerry maintained his lead over Howard Dean in the latest New Hampshire tracking poll of likely Democratic voters taken January 21 - 22. The two day rolling average of 400 respondents gave Kerry the lead with 26% followed by Dean at 19% and Wesley Clark with 17%. The survey carries an error rate of +/- 4.90%
"After four days of strong movement from John Kerry, it appears that the race has settled in with Kerry leading," said David Paleologos, political pollster and Director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. However, the race is not over. Wesley Clark is beginning to close in on the leaders and there are still 26% of likely voters still undecided."

In calls made just on Thursday, January 22nd, Kerry actually led Dean by only 1% margin. The error rate on the one-day 200 interview sub sample is +/- 6.93%.

Kerry's lead continues to be fueled by women, households with veterans, registered Democrats, and regional strength in Hillsborough county - the state's largest county. In all four of these demographic categories, Kerry led by 11%.

Dean continues to be strong among young voters ages 18-34 years (+5%), registered independent/unenrolled voters (-1%), as well as the West/North (-1%) and Central (-2%) Regions.

Of the top three candidates, Wesley Clark was the only candidate to improve his numbers over the last 24 hours. Clark's rolling average climbed to 19% from 17% a day ago. Clark's strongest demographic categories were the Central Region (-2%) and men (-5%). <snip>

+/- of 4.90% at a 95% confidence level (taken Wednesday, January 21st and Thursday, January 22nd):
· John Kerry 26%
· Howard Dean 19%
· Wesley Clark 17%
· John Edwards 7%
· Joe Lieberman 5%
· Undecided/REF 26% <snip>

on edit: And THIS JUST IN: American Research Group has a new tracking poll with Dean in, yes, third place. The numbers, please: Kerry, 31; Clark, 20; Dean, 18; Edwards, 18. For what it's worth.

[WilliamPitt]

1. The most important paragraph

"Kerry's lead continues to be fueled by women, households with veterans, registered Democrats, and regional strength in Hillsborough county - the state's largest county. In all four of these demographic categories, Kerry led by 11%."

[papau]

2. I wish the ladies would go for short and chubby over Tall and Handsome :-)

But Kerry does look "Presidential" !

:-)

Will - we need to grow taller!

:-)

[CWebster]

4. He looks like a corpse

I prefer them to at least look alive.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. Good grief. And my commentary is criticised here. eom

[oasis]

9. Poll shows women prefer Abe Lincoln over Joe Peschi when it comes to

national security.

[VelmaD]

7. Thank you for that sweeping generalization...

about the shallowness of women. :eyes:

I have 2 candidates I like in this race - Kerry and Kucinich - and I personally don't find either one of them all that attractive from a purely physical point of view.

[DJcairo]

3. Leading by only 1% last night seems way off

and is not supported by any of teh other 3 days tracks out there. With such a small daily sample I think you ought pay more attention to ARG and Zogby numbers.

[DJcairo]

6. If it's a two day poll, and Kerry lead by only 1% for one of thsoes days

How does he come out with a 7 point lead? Did he go from 14% ahead one days to 1% ahead yestrday.

Please, this thing is cracked, or what they meant to say was Kerry only went up an addition 1% on the 22nd. I think that's it, in any case.

[jsw_81]

8. The new Boston Globe poll has Kerry with a 15-point lead in NH

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/debates/articles/2004/01/23/democrats_soften_tone/

[oasis]

10. It's time to hook up Clark or Edwards for VP and get after it.

[spooky3]

11. If we can put ANY faith in the ARG figures

that's a large increase for Edwards.

But unfortunately, I don't see much reason to trust them.