The Most Vulnerable Republican Congressman in your State:

[MsTryska]

Well I jsut did a quick search - and I've found Georgia's.

Basically i followed this link:

http://www.congress.org/congressorg/dbq/officials/directory/directory.dbq?command=congdir

went to "Member Name Search" And then selected "Rep", "House" And my state.

then i narrowed down who's either a freshman or a 2nd-termer. Unless they've done soemthing particularly egregious (Like being Tom Delay) I've discounted anyone that may have had time to form serious name recognition.

The people y'all choose for your states, are the people that should be targeted for ousting.

and without further ado -

The Most Vulnerable Republican Congressman in Georgia are:

Phil Gingrey - GA 11th District - 2nd termer
Tom Price - GA 6th District - 1st Termer
Lynn Westmoreland - GA 8th District - 1st Termer


Let me know who it is in your state! I expect to see at least 49 more posts in this thread. ;-)

[Larkspur]

1. Rob Simmons in CT's 2nd District

He said during the 2004 campaign that Groton sub base would not be on the closing list. Guess he didn't do enough kissing Bush's behind.

[JerseygirlCT]

31. Yes, and good riddance!

I think Shays is fairly vulnerable, too, although of them all, he's the best. I'd love to see Johnson beat (and her potential competition is my state senator and I like him very much), but I doubt it can happen.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

2. Are vulnerable Senators wanted for the list because I have a doozie...

Pennsylvania: Rick man-on-dog Santorum

[MsTryska]

3. well of course Rick is allowed on....

but he's done soemthing egregious - like being himself - do you have freshman congressmen you'd like to get rid of in PA as well?

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

7. Melissa Hart....one of the secret DeLay voice voters and on the SS tour

The Heinz residence is in her district too and I wanted Chris Heinz to take a stab at her in 06, but apparently he's not running in 06. She's my rep. unfortunately.:cry:

[SteppingRazor]

6. Indeed. Santorum is doomed. Say hello to...

Senator Bob Casey (D-Penn.)

[Grateful for Hope]

11. I second this! n/t

[WLKjr]

4. Mike Oxley 4th District Ohio

Last guy that ran against him pulled almost half away from him in a couple of counties. Won Allen county by quite a bit. Did enough damage to this guy that he is kissing major ass now and paying LOTS of lip service in my area.


Mike Oxley = Douche Nozzle

[Amy6627]

5. San Diego, CA: Randy (is that a defence contract

in your pocket, or are you just happy to see me) Cunningham.

[LiberalAndProud]

8. Tom Osborne-Nebraska

'Cuz he's gonna be governor.

[BlueManDude]

9. No GOPers in my state - wish you all could say the same!!

Although Mitt Romney's looking pretty vulnerable these days. Even the RW Herald is trashing him.

[newscott]

45. And it's a beautiful thing!

[elperromagico]

10. There is only one Republican Congressman in my state (AR)

and he's not all that vulnerable.

[Syrinx]

12. Mike Rogers, 3rd district, Alabama

A strong Democratic candidate could beat him, I think. The others, 4 Republicans and 2 Democrats, are solid.

[XNASA]

13. Illinois - Jerry Weller IL 11th

I'd say he the most vulnerable.

[iwantmycountryback]

14. Randy Kuhl in New York's 29th District

Only got 51% of the vote and is a 1st-termer. Tom Reynolds in the 26th could also be vulnerable, he only got 56% last time, down from 74% in 2002.

[Donna Zen]

19. Good news!

Eric Massa is great. I hope the party rallies behind him. No website yet, but I hear its coming soon.

[lasttrip]

27. jack davis has said he will run again.

i hope he does. not in my district but i will volunteer.

[SteppingRazor]

15. Florida

Oddly, I think if the Democrats here in Florida just grew a pair of big brass ones, the most vulnerable Republican rep. is one of the longest-serving -- E.Clay Shaw.

He's in Fort Lauderdale, the seat of heavily Democratic Broward County, and of all the Republican reps, his last re-election was by the closest margin at 63%. If the Democrats ran a serious candidate and treated it like a real election instead of just assuming Shaw will win, they'd have a real chance in Fort Lauderdale.

[MsTryska]

22. You make a good point.....

sometimes the longest-standing can also be the most worthless.

[CitrusLib]

53. Although Weldon is in a heavily Republican area, I think the Dems

could unseat him with a good candidate and solid backing. Honorable Pinhead is such a buffoon, I think he could get crushed in some well publicized debates.

[Pool Hall Ace]

16. I've only lived in North Carolina for a year, but I think

Congressman "Freedom Fries" (Walter Jones) would be vulnerable.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

17. But isn't he starting to question the war and the administration?

Not sure if I have the right guy but I thought it was him.

[Pool Hall Ace]

20. Yes, that is him. Not only is he questioning the war, but he is

*not* marching in lockstep with Herr Bush. But that's why I think he might be vulnerable. I don't know much about the North Carolina's third district. If the constituents still love the pResident, they may want to either vote Jones out or stay home on election day.

Since I haven't lived here very long, I haven't figured the state out yet. There are a lot of Democrats down here who seem more like Republicans to me.

Perhaps someone else in North Carolina will chime in.

[dsc]

47. I live in his district

and I think he will win in a walk. They have gerrymandered the district racially in that a majority black district (Butterfield) has left this district nearly lilly white. Plus he has four military institalitions in his district. I honestly don't see winning here (we also have the major problem that we don't do GOTV efforts in the part of his district which is in Wilson County which doesn't help).

[Pool Hall Ace]

50. Oh well. I thought perhaps he would be vulnerable because

the freepers really hate him. They bring up that he used to be a Democrat (is that even true?).

Of course, their beloved Raygun used to be a Democrat.

[dsc]

51. Like many Southerners he used to be a Democrat

Unusual for many Southerners he is a Catholic. He is very religious and is on the forefront of involving religion and politics. His dad was Congressman in this district for a really long time (as a Democrat) and when he died the son ran as a Republican for Congress (he had been a Democrat in the state legislature). In all honesty they have only had one really well financed opponent against him and that person lost close to 60/40. This time he won around 2/3 of the vote though against a very underfunded opponent (he was so poorly funded I couldn't get my local teachers union to endorse him they remained neutral).

[rasputin1952]

18. Jeff Fortenberry, 1st District, NE...another bush clone...worthless

as can be.

Even when challenged by an underfunded Dem, he nearly lost. First termer, and if people wake up, he's outta there. The district has quite a bit of Omaha in it, and that makes him vulnerable. He has yet to do anythinbg worthwhile...his voting habits look like a right hand bush rubber stamp...:puke:

The only thing he has going for him...the GOP machine, and that is rusty and falling apart...:)

[MsTryska]

24. hah - so let's find someone worth running in the Omaha area

try to raise them as much funds as possible and go to town.

[Massacure]

21. Mark Green is running for WI governor, is he not?

That opens up one potential gain for us.

[navvet]

48. Yes but the Fox River Valley and

Green Bay area has been strong GOP for over a decade and I have not seen any evidence of change.

As it is I think Green will win the GOP primary for Gov and give Doyle all he can handle.

Ryan down here is so safe it is nauseating.
:argh:

[Gothmog]

23. I hope that it is Tom Delay

I am hoping that Tom Delay is vulnerable.

[chaz4jazz]

25. FORWARD THIS IDEA TO THE DNC

It's a terrific concept. Targeting just one congressional seat could mean 30 to 40 new seats in the congress.

[MsTryska]

26. Great - I will!

do i jsut send them an email or soemthing?

or use that talkback form on the website?


i'm just wondering what the most effective way of gettign in otuch with them would be.

[hootinholler]

28. Roscoe Bartlett, if the right strategy is taken against him.

Problem is he's a well entrenched incumbent. The truth would set him free.

-Hoot

[MsTryska]

29. then we need to work on that strategy eh?

what's the dirt?

[Rockholm]

30. Thank God We Have NONE in Massachusetts!!!!!

Now, if we can get rid of that loser Romney on Beacon Hill.....

[KingFlorez]

32. There's a few here in California

But we never get the right candidates against them.

[MsTryska]

33. Well then California's job is to find the right candidadtes

and throw all your support behind them.

[XemaSab]

35. The problem is

that in the small, rural districts people can't afford to run. Very few people are willing to take that much time off to run what's perceived as a losing race. There's also the issue of losing business contacts by running as a democrat. It's really not so easily resolved.

[cally]

46. Pombo is being challenged and is vulnerable

(He's trying to gut the endangered species act.) Seems like Duke Cunningham could be defeated or sent to jail.

[kentuck]

34. Colorado -- Musgrave and Tancredo

There are a lot of Democrats in each of their districts that surround the Denver county area...

[kwolf68]

36. No McInnis

That Scott Mcinnis guy? He's Colorado isn't he? Wish he was vulnerable. He's a joke.

[kentuck]

54. No longer in Congress?

I think he is gone?

[ZombieNixon]

37. New Mexico - Heather Wilson (R-1, ABQ and vicinity) w/o a doubt

She's a fourth-termer or something, but her re-election numbers have been steadily declining, even againt Richard Romero, who, while a nice person, is a totally incompetent campaigner.

Steve Pearce (R-2, south) has the oil patch locked up. There's no way that's gonna change for a while, except perhaps with a strong populist candidate from somewhere other than Las Cruces.

Tom Udall (D-3, north, my rep :D) is a good Dem who's popular enough to win heavily (65-35) Republican San Juan County against an opponent who's our DA (he carried SJ by 3 votes, but he still carried it, damn it!).

[mvd]

38. Well..

Gerlach, the representative from my district, might be vulnerable - problem is finding a challenger with name recognition from here.

Charles W. Dent is a first termer, and from the Lehigh Valley, too.

Possibly Timothy F. Murphy, from western PA, is vulnerable.

[CANDO]

40. Gerlach is definitely vulnerable

Ms. Murphy damned near beat him last time and she is running again. Also the Fitzgerald fellow who won Weldon's seat in the 6th district now has an Iraq war vet named Patrick Murphy running for the Democratic nomination. So we may have two democratic Murphy's in bordering districts. Dent may be weak also, but I don't see that Driscol guy as strong enough to do it. The Lehigh Valley Democrats need to find someone with military background to run against him. I am so thankful to be in Tim Holden's district(barely). I can go less than a mile in three different directions and be in another congressional district. They sure did a banged up job when they carved Berks county up into four congressional districts. (6th, 15th, 16th, and 17th)

[mvd]

42. Yeah, I think we need to run someone different against

Dent, but that's a seat that should be blue. I have high hopes.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

41. Any thoughts on Melissa Hart in SW Pa?

I was hoping Chris Heinz would challenge her, but apparently he's not running in 06.

Do you think she could be a good target for the Dems? She was one of the DeLay voice votes to protect him in December, stumps for SS privatization, and is against stem cell research/choice.

[mvd]

43. Not that familiar

I mentioned the 2nd termer from Western PA and not her since she's a third termer, but she could be vulnerable. Pretty conservative rep.

[FrankBooth]

39. Dave Reichert - Washington State 8th District

I think he is very vulnerable in 2006.

[jn2375]

44. Santorium in PA

[ISUGRADIA]

49. Anyone under 60% is a better standard. Price is NOT vunerable

any freshman Repub who ran unopposed in the general election is in a extra safe seat. Westmoreland too with 74%.

Gingery is a better bet at only 57% in 04.

[MsTryska]

52. wait...Price ran UNOPPOSED for that seat?

what the hell is wrong with that picture?


i do agree that approval ratings need to be taken into account too - that is a better standard.


I'm not sure exactly where Price's seat is, but I will definitely do what I can to make sure he doesn't run unopposed this time around.


I was goign to go work in Gingrey's territory because part of his little gerrymandered district is near me, but I would rather take the extra effort to make sure no republican runs unopposed in georgia.

[livvy]

55. Michigan

Schwarz- 7th District- 1st term- won by 58%
Knollenberg- 9th District- 7th term- won by 59%
McCotter- 11th District- 2nd term- won by 57%
Miller- 10th District- 2nd term- won by 69% I really can't stand her.
She'd be my first pick to go!
Rogers- 8th District- 3rd term- won by 61%

[realFedUp]

56. The Dukestir

but we have a bunch of bananas on the right.

[Sooner75]

57. Texas

The picture is far from clear to me about Texas. Delay's skullduggery installed some GOP freshmen who are probably somewhat vulnerable just because they're no names.

Without Bush at the top of the ticket and with Bush's popularity slipping, Republicans will have a bit more trouble. Delay will be challenged. Maybe they'll be ready to take out the trash down in the 22nd District.

Here in the 6th District, "Smoky Joe" Barton was challenged last time by a plucky young attorney named Morris Meyer. He made a lot of headway in Barton's stronghold areas including Ennis, his hometown. Morris lost 2-to-1 mainly because voters voted mostly straight ticket. On his own, Morris is a strong contender, and he swore he'd be back to take on Barton. He knows the terrain. He knows Barton's miserable record. AND, he's got good name ID.

Martin Frost is out there somewhere. Delay stacked the deck as much as he could, and Martin still pulled 44% of the vote. He's still very popular and a very savvy player who how to win.

[splat@14]

58. Texas district 8, Brady. No real competition for this seat.

Except for the last election he has largely run unopposed. His opponent in the last election was never a threat.

Senate is also pretty locked up with Cornyn and Hutchinson.

Welcome to DU Sooner!