UIC Prof's Statistical Analysis Casts Doubt on '04 Election Result

[LVdem]

Sorry if this has already has come through DU...I just saw this and wanted to share.

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"Our goal is to raise awareness of the exit poll problems and to highlight the need for broad election reform," commented Baiman. "The fact that Edison/Mitofsky has not released its raw data, which would facilitate independent corroboration of its analysis, is problematic. The biggest problem is not what Edison/Mitofsky has concluded, but the fact that it is sitting on its substantive analysis and data and not allowing any other independent party to look at it. That this is allowed to continue is a national and media disgrace."

According to a website dedicated to investigating the 2004 Presidential election, www.bushoccupation.com, "To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe: that the exit polls were wrong; that Zogby's 5 p.m. election day calls for Kerry winning Ohio and Florida were wrong...; that incumbent rule #1-undecideds break for the challenger-was wrong; that the 50% rule-an incumbent doesn't do better than his final polling-was wrong; that the approval rating rule-an incumbent with less than 50% approval will most likely lose the election-was wrong; that it was just a coincidence that the exit polls were correct where there was a paper trail and incorrect (+5% for Bush) where there was no paper trail; that the surge in new young voters had no positive effect for Kerry; that Kerry did worse than (Al) Gore against an opponent who lost the support of scores of Republican newspapers who were for Bush in 2000...."
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http://www.expertclick.com/NewsReleaseWire/default.cfm?Action=ReleaseDetail&ID=9474

Again, sorry if this is old news here. But well worth revisiting!!!

[coloradodem2005]

1. I salavate at the thought that the whole house of cards could come down.

I just hope it happens.

[Botany]

3. It is coming!

:beer:

[bluestateguy]

2. Hm

This should be presented at this years meeting of the American Political Science Association, September 1-5, in Washington.

[Botany]

4. Sorry the APSA .....

has some ringers planted that are bush backers .....
One being Tougott (SP?) from the university of michigan

[mom cat]

5. I had not seen it. We need to keep this issue alive for Andy as well as

for ourselves.