By Chris Edwards
August 8, 2005
http://washingtontimes.com/commentary/20050807-095658-6757r.htmWill President Bush reverse course on fiscal policy and raise taxes? At first thought that seems unlikely because the president would not want to tarnish his tax-cutting record. But "tax reform" has replaced "tax cuts" on the Washington agenda, and that poses dangers for taxpayers.
The president's tax reform panel, headed by former Sen. Connie Mack, will report its findings in September. The panel is charged with proposing "revenue-neutral" options, which seems to rule out tax increases. However, in at least three ways higher taxes threaten to become part of tax reform.
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A third tax threat is that a revenue increase might creep into a reform package as it moves through Congress. Legislators might see tax reform as a chance to create a new value-added tax to pay for rising entitlement costs. Unfortunately, President Bush has a record of sending reform-oriented bills to Congress that get morphed into big government bills and then signing them into law anyway to score legislative victories. The 2002 education bill and 2003 prescription drug bill are wonderfully depressing examples.
Might there be a similar disaster with tax reform? Would the president sign a "reform" bill that made his prior tax cuts permanent, sprinkled in breaks for his favored causes such as education and imposed a VAT to win the votes of deficit hawks? I fear such a "bipartisan compromise" would create a more powerful tax engine that fuels higher government growth.