Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Dean polling 41% of black voters

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
msanger Donating Member (737 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:50 PM
Original message
Dean polling 41% of black voters
In a Washington Post poll <http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac3/ContentServer?pagename=polls&nextstep=displayQuestion&interactive=n&pollid=2003352&pripollid=&varname=q998_lea&privarname=&questCategoryType=n&questCategory=Variables.questCategory&keyword=Variables.keyword&pollDateRange=Variables.pollDateRange&ctabtype=A&startingRow=31&pollType=National&searchPollId=2003352&newsearch=[br />] Dean is leading the pack with 31% of the vote. When broken down by race, he is getting 30% of the White vote, and 41% of the Black vote.

So I guess the "confederate flag" thing hasn't hurt him too badly.

Anybody but bush.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
SahaleArm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. Does it list the sample sizes for each race?
Edited on Mon Dec-22-03 10:56 PM by SahaleArm
Extrapolating based on the numbers the ratio looks to be 10:1 or greater, which would put the MOE so high it could make your head spin :).
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:52 PM
Response to Original message
2. *Jaw drops*
It could be because nearly the entire CBC has endorsed him.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
OrAnarch Donating Member (433 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
3. Dean is unelectable...
He has no southern appeal, black appeal, latino appeal, young person appeal, crossover appeal, human appeal, etc etc.

:)

Lets put that lie to a rest as it is becoming clearly evident. I hope the other 8 canddates will campaign on an idea other than, "Im more electable than Dean". This is truly becoming a foolish and presumptuous position that is probably false from these numbers rolling in. Im sure though a few camps will give me 20 responses regarding polls nd reasons he appeals to them now but wont in the general. Yeah, yeah.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dajabr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. "Humans for Dean"
would make a nice campaign button. :-)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dajabr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 10:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Thanks for posting...nice even breakout by age as well! (nt)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MidwestMomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:01 PM
Response to Original message
6. Please see disclaimer at bottom of poll
Edited on Mon Dec-22-03 11:08 PM by MidwestMomma
It says:

# A red column header indicates that there were not enough respondents in a particular category to insure reliable results.

Please note the Black column header is in red.

Thank you for your time.

edited to be nicer!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:04 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I don't see anything like you mention.
Edited on Mon Dec-22-03 11:06 PM by madfloridian
I am not being ugly, I don't see it there.

On Edit I do see only 31%, but that link above does not look like what you describe.
:shrug:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MidwestMomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. When you click on the results by 'race'
The page displays with the results by race with the column 'Black' in red and the note at the bottom.

Maybe I go crazy. It's possible. I am a member of DU!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
SahaleArm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Yes the MOE would be 13-15%+ with a small sample size n/t
Edited on Mon Dec-22-03 11:09 PM by SahaleArm
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. Given the fact that Dean is polling around 30% nationwide, these are about
right IMO. I doubt there is a massive disparity between white and black support given everyother poll I have seen.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
SahaleArm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Purely from a math perspective it's statistically insignificant ;) n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dajabr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:16 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. Using SahaleArm's MOE, what would the "adjusted" % look like?(nt)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. I clicked each factor, and they were the same?
Me crazy, too. I don't see any 41%.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Toucano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. Whoops
Edited on Mon Dec-22-03 11:04 PM by dralston
Should have read the whole thread before posting. My bad.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:08 PM
Response to Original message
10. I am apparently getting another page than you guys.
I don't see anything about votes divided racially.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
SahaleArm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. See the upper right hand radio-box n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MidwestMomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-22-03 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. Maybe you aren't seeing the 'box' in the corner
The poll is for 'Democrats'. Then there is a box in the upper right hand corner to view results by different categories.

It's kind of confusing.....

Do you see this box?

Results By:
Sex
Race
Education
Age
Region

Internet browsers suck sometimes!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Dec 26th 2024, 09:45 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC