Predict Dixville Notch NH primary results and win!

[windansea]

free golf lessons from yours truly...

Your lessons will include 3 days of swing instruction on the driving range as well as two 18 hole playing lessons guaranteed to reduce your handicap by at least 5 strokes...

Lessons will be conducted at the beautiful Panorama Course designed by Donald Ross at the The Balsams Resort.



http://www.thebalsams.com/golf.cfm

Dixville Notch is first to vote in New Hampshire and is famous for:

"The voters of Dixville Notch traditionally cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary just after midnight. The town's voters have correctly chosen the eventual Republican nominee every year since 1968.

In 2000:

23 Republicans and six Democrats voted in Dixville Notch on Tuesday morning: Bush, the governor of Texas and son of former President George Bush, claimed 12 GOP ballots to edge out Arizona Sen. John McCain.

On the Democratic side, Bradley beat Vice President Al Gore by a 2-1 margin -- four votes to two.

http://www.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/02/01/dixville.notch/

Predict the Democratic vote before Midnight EST and win!!

small print: winner(s) will cover my expenses including airfare, accomodations, food and many beverages for 3 days.

[kentuck]

1. The General plans on being in Dixville Notch at midnight...

if that makes any difference...

[windansea]

2. Clark goes for every vote!!

in the other thread about the Notch someone said there's no dems registered now...in 2000 there were 6

[MoonRiver]

4. Maybe they all moved? Isn't the population about 30?

:shrug:

[windansea]

8. it's a hamlet

maybe some of the pubbies went indy

[Monument]

3. Kerry will win with ALL the votes!

The Balsams is simply an amazing place. This is a tough call.

My logic:
Dean is going to be considered too "left" for this crowd
Kerry will get votes due to his native son status.
Clark is probably of interest, but if you're looking for a vet they'll go with Kerry.
Liberman - doubt he gets a single vote
Edwards - doubt he gets a single vote

[windansea]

6. sounds like a winner to me

hope you have plenty of platinum cards....my drink bill could be rather large

[KaraokeKarlton]

14. Kerry is the "native son" in Dixville Notch?

Bwahahahahahaha! Do you even know where Dixville Notch is? It's in the northern most part of NH...and couldn't have less in common with Massachussetts if they tried. They aren't too far from the Vermont border, though. I don't foresee the likely NRA member voters there casting their votes for Kerry. :shrug:

[windansea]

17. kerry will get blitzed in the Notch

bank on it...I predict a fight to the finish between Dean and Clark giving one of them frontrunner momentum across the state!

[jmaier]

5. Assuming 10 votes

It will be

Clark 5
Kerry 3
Dean 2

...or something!

[windansea]

7. don't know if there's that many

in 2000 there were 23 pubs and 6 dems...but maybe some of the pubbies have registered indy this year being less than thrilled with chimpy

[Rowdyboy]

9. My guess...

Clark 6
Edwards 2
Kerry 2
Dean 5

edited while I still have time.

[windansea]

10. looks good!

got platinum???

[Rowdyboy]

12. Look, dude, nothing would help my golf game

I took it in college 30 years ago. It was the only course in my college career that I nearly failed. It was pass/fail but I hated it so much, I skipped all the time. Finally, the coach sent me a notice that if I missed another class, I'd fail. So I came back and dug sod/sliced badly for a few more days.

If I win, how about if we spend our golf lesson time just drinking beer in seedy bars?

[windansea]

15. dude...I can work miracles

but seedy bars sounds good too...might have to go off resort for a fun filled expedition to downtown Dixville to look for hotties

[KaraokeKarlton]

11. It won't be Kerry or Edwards who wins it

It will be either Dean, Clark or Lieberman. Why? None of the registered voters are Democrats, they're Independents and Republicans. They're most likely hunters, NRA members and budget hawks. Clark is going to be present to greet voters, but NH voters are NOT easily influenced in that way, so it'll be interesting. CSpan broadcasts from Dixville Notch starting at 11:45pm.

[windansea]

13. Clark is really going to be there?

what a guy!! hope he gets a few votes for taking the time to greet the first (normal type vote) voters in the nation.

[KaraokeKarlton]

16. Being there might backfire actually

NH voters are a whole other breed of folks. They aren't easily influenced and are quite set in their ways. If their mind is made up before they get there, he's not going to influence them in any way. If he's pushy at all it might even hurt him.

[windansea]

18. he's not the pushy type

I think he's going there purely as a good natured gesture

[KaraokeKarlton]

19. To some in NH

just being there will be perceived as being "pushy". Like I said, NH voters are a breed all unto themselves. :D

[windansea]

20. I just think it's cool Clark's going

now...did you have a prediction? beginner, intermediate, or tour pro...I can put the groove on your swing :)

[KaraokeKarlton]

30. I don't golf

To be blunt...chasing a little ball around a field and looking at old men with knobby knees adorned in sock garters is not my idea of a good time. I live practically next door to a country club and golf course and still have no interest. But I'll tell you what, you buy your own bus ticket and you can borrow my tent and sleeping bag. Hell, you can even pitch the thing in my back yard and use my shower. I'll even drive you up to Dixville Notch and show you where you can hike and see moose and everything. I'll even buy you some Buck Lure to put on your shoes so you stand a better chance of seeing one! :D

I'm guessing it will be either Dean, Clark or Lieberman who will win in Dixville Notch, just based on common sense about the sort of voters who would live there. It's pretty desolate and northern NH tends to attract the survivalist types for the most part. I suppose a liberal or two might live there, but the majority would be rather conservative.

[windansea]

32. golf has evolved a bit in the past 10 years

but the hike sounds fun too

[Donkeyboy75]

21. Seven votes total will pan out as:

Dean 3
Clark 2
Lieberman 1
Kerry 1

:beer: :beer:

[Auntie Bush]

22. Clark........ Dean, Kerry, Edwards, Lieberman

One of the reasons I think Wes Clark will get their vote is because some people say he's really a Republican and NH is a Republican State.
How's that for a novel reason?

[windansea]

24. why not

he is attractive to moderates and people who don't like the whole partisan us vs them divide

[Hokie]

23. My Prediction

Kerry 11
Dean 9
Clark 6
Edwards 4
Lieberman 2

I read the small print so I will not lose any sleep over the outcome.

[WI_DEM]

25. ok, I predict that due to a real primary on the democratic side

that 12 people will vote in the Democratic primary--double '00!!

Edwards: 4
Lieberman: 3
Kerry: 2
Dean: 2
Clark: 1

[NewHampster]

26. Don't forget this is Rep country - My prediction

My Prediction

Bush - 20 100%
Kerry - 2 66%
Clark - 1 33%

If my count is off then the balance will also go to Bush.

[NewHampster]

27. The cutoff time should be earlier to avoid edits

;)

and dang I'm only 3.5 hours away so I was looking forward to the lesson.

[windansea]

29. will cut off at 12:00 midnight EST

not sure when they announce the results but I think it might happen on CSPAN

ever play that course?? looks nice and Donald Ross is one of the great designers

[TexasPatriot]

28. my turn

16 votes
8 Clark
4 Dean
4 Kerry

[JohnLocke]

31. 26 votes

6 Dean
6 Kerry
6 Clark
4 Lieberman
4 Edwards

[windansea]

33. looks like a nailbiter prediction! n/t

[David Dunham]

34. Predictions

Kerry 4 votes
Dean 3 votes
Edwards 3 votes
Clark 2 votes
Lieberman 0 votes

[windansea]

39. solid prediction from the Iowa prediction champ!

[bain_sidhe]

35. Figure half the Repubs and all the Dems

will vote in the Dem primary, because hey, the Repub primary is a real snoozer... so, rounding up, that's 18 votes

Clark - 8
Dean - 6
Kerry - 2
Edwards - 1
Lieberman - 1

Nobody else gets any votes.

Don't golf, so the fine print's not a problem.

[windansea]

40. looks good n/t

[morgan2]

36. lieberman gonna win in

dixville is my guess.

[DianeG5385]

37. Here goes!

Dixville results:
Dean
Clark
Kerry
Edwards
Lieberman
Kucinich

[Jerseycoa]

38. C-Span covering Dixville Notch tonight nt

[Rowdyboy]

41. Looks like a near tie between TexasPatriot and me

I got the total number of Democratic votes right, and the fact that Wes Would Win. He/she got Wes's vote total correct and only missed the total vote by one.

[windansea]

42. ok call it a tie

now...about those tickets...I prefer First Class...but business class will do :)

I never imagined Wes would win by such a HUGE margin

:kick:

[TexasPatriot]

43. As i'm not a golfer

you can have the lessons...
i'll spend the time in OK canvassing instead ;)

[windansea]

44. sounds good!!

the golf thing was just a bit of fun..although I would really like to play that course!

[Qutzupalotl]

45. This was quite the coup for Wes!

And the photos of the leaderboard could be on the front pages of local papers in New Hampshire. What better way to reassure voters he's the best candidate against George W. Bush?

Anyone still think the General is an amateur? :7