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If poll results = Electoral College votes Bush would have 75 (270 needed)

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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:20 AM
Original message
If poll results = Electoral College votes Bush would have 75 (270 needed)
http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/index.html?blog=/politics/war_room/2005/08/17/poll/index.html

For the president, 38 flavors of bad

George W. Bush is a very popular president -- in Idaho.

Survey USA has pulled together a 50-state survey on George W. Bush's approval ratings. The president gets a net positive approval rating -- that is, a poll result in which more respondents approve of his job performance than disapprove -- in just 10 states: Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, Nebraska, Texas, Alabama, North Dakota, Montana, Oklahoma and Mississippi. In two other states -- Louisiana and North Carolina -- respondents are divided evenly on their president.

The other 38 states? Not so good for Bush. They don't approve of him just a little bit in Indiana and Alaska, and they don't like him much at all in Rhode Island, where respondents say they disapprove of the president's job performance by a margin of 68 to 29 percent. Rounding out the bottom five: Massachusetts, Vermont, Delaware and California.

If poll results equaled Electoral College votes, Bush would have about 75 of them right now. It takes 270 to win.
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RobertSeattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:23 AM
Response to Original message
1. That's a cool stat - thanks!
Someone needs to rev up those electoral college maps we were constantly looking at back in 2004!
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
2. He could get more than that
If he has an approval rating of 48% or 49% in a state then he could still conceivably win it. If you assume that all the approvers would vote for him, then he only needs a small percentage of disapprovers to vote for him if the Democrats present a poor alternative. This is why I was so exasperated when people here would write off Bush as "toast" last year when polls showed him with a 48%, 49% approval rating.

But I'm inclined to think that if we re-did the Bush-Kerry race again that Kerry would win...but not in a landslide.
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Jacobin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:29 AM
Response to Original message
3. It all depends on who the alternative is
If its someone people find unacceptable, they would vote the stupid guy back in (if he could run again which he can't). All you need is $500 million in tv ads to scare people into thinking libruls will take their guns away, let gay teachers seduce your kids and let them get married, and won't let them pray. Oh, and also, will let terraists come kill us all.

Meaningless poll, unfortunately, except for one significant thing which is 2006. That should be interesting
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:35 AM
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4. Deleted message
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renaissanceguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Repugs cheated
and those who actually did vote for your chimp are now regretting it. Burn in hell, freeper.

http://www.cafepress.com/liberalissues/472476
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:49 AM
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9. Deleted message
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:57 AM
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12. Deleted message
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Bush_Eats_Beef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. Enjoy your brief stay on DU.
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tx_dem41 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:44 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. Wow....usually people are a little more adept at subtlety....
you just go for the quick flameout. I grade you out at D-.

But thanks for playing.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:48 AM
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8. Deleted message
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Not_Giving_Up Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #8
13. More Americans agree with the mother in the ditch
than with the idiot in charge.
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marc_the_dem Donating Member (222 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 12:10 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. if momma ain't happy...
then nobody is happy...

Go Cindy!
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. Yay, I get to see the Marble-Row'd before the burial!
SUCH a rarity.

Someone give this assrape'd an enlistment form, so y'all can fight for Dear Leader's PNACatastrophe, stupid!

GO ON! SIGN UP!! YOUR CABAL NEEDS EWE!!
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #4
11. *We've* got the mandate now, jackass.
Seeing that you hold it so high and mighty, I thought I'd inform you of that fact.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-18-05 12:12 PM
Response to Original message
15. Bush was able to inflate his support in 2004 by ripping Kerry down
Without an enemy to bastardize, he is forced to stand in front of the country on his own merits.

And needless to say, the results aren't good.
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