from the August 22, 2005 edition
Why a booming economy feels flat
Personal income is one key area where workers have fallen behind, compared with past periods of strong wage growth.
By Mark Trumbull | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0822/p01s03-usec.html?s=hnsDespite continued strong economic growth, this expansion is clouded with enough complications and uncertainties that, for many, it doesn't feel like good times.
The reason?
A boom in corporate profits has not yet created a job market that makes workers feel secure, economists say.
Hiring hasn't skyrocketed. Worse, wages are stagnant. This paycheck squeeze may prove more worrisome than soaring oil prices and concerns over a housing bubble. Some experts worry that
wage stagnation may prove more permanent this time, because of an increasingly global market for labor. Few economists claim that today's economy matches the late 1990s, when unemployment was lower and job numbers seemed to rise as easily as the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
The pace of job growth, for one thing, was almost imperceptible during two years of concern about a "jobless recovery." Now that the economy has some momentum, the financial press is focused on threats to consumer well-being, such as the burden of energy costs and a soaring real estate market. "Surveys show that
even though the economy is growing reasonably strongly, a lot of households don't feel that," says Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at Global Insight in Lexington, Mass.
Normally, as employees are able to produce more in each hour of work, the result is greater cash flow that can be divvied up between workers and owners or investors. In the long run, rising productivity means rising wages and living standards. But in the short run,
"most of the gains in the economy have gone into profits rather than wages," says Mr. Behravesh.