Ah, screw New Hampies! This is what I'm obsessin' 'bout now. (new polls)

[Bucky]

If I was going to be totally cool (aka "kewl") I'd call these "Noo Pollz" and this would automatically win me street cred with, I mean "wid mah homies".

Yo.

Da Nu Stuf (see how kewl I am? Yo?) My boy Wesley bringin' home da Green Bloc

Da ol-skoo stuff
<==kik dis, yo

[Loren645]

1. Ooooooo, pretty.

Any more input?

[Bucky]

3. Now *this* is pretty

Had he worn argyle tonight, I'm convinced he would have won.

[ShaneGR]

2. Edwards within 10, or leading, in all 3 states

After tomorrow, he'll be a freight train.

[AnnitaR]

4. Kerry leading in Arizona??

:wtf:

[Bucky]

5. This poll got done the three days after Iowa upset. And it's a 3 pt spread

No biggie. The evidence in New Hampshire seems to be that Kerry makes a great first impression, then fades as exposure time lingers a while. This is partly why Dean is resurging (also Dean is getting a sympathy/fairness vote from Dems who think the media attack over the Yarg is petty). I don't think Kerry can do much to improve in AZ, it's not his natural turf. Edwards, despite his numbers now, is the real competition to Clark in the Dried Sand State.

[Adjoran]

6. In all those state polls

Kerry got a tremendous spike from his upset win in Iowa. It remains to be seen how the results tomorrow play in the media. If it is closer than expected, which is probable given the propensity of New Hampshirites to confound the pollsters, and the tendency of late deciders NOT to go to the frontrunner, Kerry could win the primary but lose the expectations game.

A Dean comeback for a close second would be the story, as would another surge for Edwards in the final hours. Expectations for Clark have fallen, so he could gain some bounce even from third now. Even Lieberman could get a bit of play if he should make it into double digits. All that would negate the momentum Kerry might otherwise expect.

The strange rule for primaries seems to be: if you are expected to win, you better win big. Anything less is a loss, or at best a push. If you're expected to flop, anything better is a win. Late surges get double credit. It is beyond comprehension. I remember the good old days, when you just counted the delegates committed, and whoever got 2106 or whatever it is wins, they throw a great big party and everybody comes.

One of the managers at a Fortune 500 media company where I once worked was notorious for making charts of everything. "Art the Chart" was his nickname. When a complicated sales promotion was introduced, Art of course made a multi=colored chart. Somebody took a picture of him holding it up, and added a speech balloon like it a comic strip, with him saying, ". . . and, if you understand this chart, you AUTOMATICALLY win the contest!"

[chyjo]

7. it's worth noting that sharpton is third in SC

in the ARG poll