My prediction: Kerry wins NH by more than 10%

[jeter]

Dean will be finished after tomorrow. Edwards finishes third which will be spun like a victory.

Clark and Lieberman will be toast after today. Both will finish in single digits.

[Syrinx]

1. I think Edwards and Dean will be on Kerry's tail!

[onebigbadwulf]

2. AHAHAh

that's crazy talk.

There's no way Kerry will win by more than 5 pts at BEST.

[jsw_81]

9. We'll see

Personally, I think Kerry will win by about ten points. Some polls have him up by twenty.

[overground1]

10. Those are 3 day averages in tracking polls - it has tightened

which does not show up in these kinds of polls. They are terrible short-term predictors for fluid races.

Kerry's Iowa bounce has subsided, and Dean has made a strong comeback.
Daily snapshot polls show them within the margin of error.
Also what is not as visable in the 3 day tracking polls is just how much Clark has dropped.

I'm predicting:

Hamm
Dean
Kerry
Edwards
Lieberman
Clark

With Sharpton and Kucinich not even registering in whole numbers.

[overground1]

11. Oh, but I know, there are 8 people in Dixville who disagree with me...

:eyes:

[JCMach1]

3. Kerry but by less than 5%

-- A squeaker.

[La_Serpiente]

4. wow, pretty bullish

frankly, I think if Dean is not first, he will come in a strong second.

On top of that, the race is so close, the independents will be the ones deciding it, not so much the Democrats.

[overground1]

5. I'm predicting a Hamm upset

[ShaneGR]

6. As an Edwards guy, I tend to agree

Lots of MO, and I expect his turnout to be high in his neighboring state. I've predicted Iowa redux:

1. Kerry
2. Edwards
3. Dean
4. Clark
5. Lieberman
6. Kucinich
7. Sharpton

[sventvkg]

7. You are making me sick...Get em out!!!!

Dean or Clark!!!!!!! our only choice...get the other guys out...

[AnnitaR]

8. My prediction is

that Kerry gets his ass handed to him on a platter.

Then this thing gets real interesting!

Dean
Clark
Kerry
Edwards

[lcordero]

12. Clark had a headstart in New Hampshire

that gives me enough reason to think that he can win in NH

Early bird catches the worm

[kentuck]

13. I would be surprised if Kerry won by that wide of a margin...

Since there are so many "independents" that don't tend to vote for the known liberal??