Sunday, August 28, 2005
$145,000 owed by every American
The country is ill-prepared to cover $43 trillion in obligations.
By ROBERT TANNER
The Associated Press
You owe $145,000. And the bill is rising every day.
That's how much it would cost every American man, woman and child to pay the tab for the long-term promises the U.S. government has made to creditors, retirees, veterans and the poor. And it's not even taking into account credit card bills, mortgages - all the debt we've racked up personally. Savings? The average American puts away barely $1 of every $100 earned.
Our profligate ways at home are mirrored in Washington and in the global marketplace, where as a society we spend $1.9 billion more a day on imported clothes and cars and gadgets than the entire rest of the world spends on its goods and services. A chorus of economists, government officials and elected leaders are warning that nonstop borrowing could bring fiscal disaster - one that could unleash plummeting home values, rocketing interest rates, lost jobs and threats to government services.
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An Associated Press/Ipsos poll of 1,000 adults taken July 5-7 found that a sweeping majority - 70 percent - worried about the size of the federal deficit either "some" or "a lot." But only 35 percent were willing to cut government spending and deal with a drop in services to balance the budget. Even fewer - 18 percent - were willing to raise taxes to keep current services. Just 1 percent wanted to both raise taxes and cut spending. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
A few years ago, government finances were the strongest they had been in a generation. But it didn't last. The budget surplus of $236 billion in 2000 turned into a deficit of $412 billion last year. The government had to borrow that much to cover the hole between what it took in and what it had to spend; a difference that's called the federal deficit. Blame the bust of the dot-com boom, the ensuing recession, President George W. Bush's federal tax cuts, the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the subsequent wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
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Some people, however - including economists - think the picture isn't so gloomy. Ben Bernanke, who recently left the Federal Reserve Board to serve as Bush's top economic adviser, has argued that the problem is not with the United States. The trouble lies overseas, where people want to save rather than invest or spend their money. While the federal budget needs to be balanced, the key is to encourage other countries to create more economic activity, he says... As a society, Americans are on track this year to spend $680 billion more on foreign goods like Chinese-made clothes and Scandinavian cell phones than overseas buyers do on American products.
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Here's how economists, from former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to analysts at the International Monetary Fund, explain the danger that creates: Americans go into debt to live a life beyond their means, spending borrowed money to buy goods, many from overseas. Government provides more services than it can afford to, and goes into debt to cover the gap. Foreign banks increasingly cover that debt by buying it, in the form of U.S. Treasuries, which helps keep interest rates low and keeps American consumers buying. Experts say the relationship is unsustainable. It could all come crashing down if foreign banks reduced their investment in the dollar, says Nouriel Roubini, an economics professor at New York University.
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http://www.ocregister.com/ocr/2005/08/28/sections/news/focus/article_652246.php