Analysts say S.C. can seal it for Kerry

[NewYorkerfromMass]

John Kerry can eliminate his last serious opponent by coming to South Carolina and beating John Edwards on his own turf next week, political observers said Tuesday.

“If Kerry beats Edwards in South Carolina, that’s probably it,” University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato said Tuesday night.

http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/7812849.htm

Seems to be a big showdown. Edwards leads Kerry in current polls 24 to 17...

[mmonk]

1. Of course they do

[creativelcro]

2. "Analysts" should stop drinking and start being serious about their job

[Birthmark]

3. Are these the same analysts...

...that wrote him off a few weeks ago? Or are these the analysts that declared Dean unstoppable? Maybe it's the analysts who pronounced Dean dead last week? I think I'll wait for some more actual votes to be cast. :)

[Dark Star]

4. Do you know who Sabato Is?

I wouldn't lay any bets on his pronouncements! Why not read up and then take a look at the rest of 2/3 and at Super Tuesday?

[Rowdyboy]

7. I know who he is

One of the least talented, most often incorrect hacks in the business. I think he called a race correctly back in the late 1970's and has been quoted like God ever since.

[Dark Star]

8. emphasis on the "hack"

:yourock:

[union_maid]

5. Analysts are the big losers

Seems to me that the talking heads are going to be voted off the island before the next candidate drops out if they can't do better than they have so far. Conventional wisdom has never looked more like conventional talking out of inappropriate orifices.

[Rowdyboy]

6. Some of the same analysts that told us Clark needed a 3rd place in NH

Then told us he failed because he finished 3rd. These guys are so full of bullshit their eyes are brown.

This week is gonna be lots of F-U-N !!!!

[NewYorkerfromMass]

9. Clyburn has endorsed Kerry

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=102&topic_id=335083

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uslatest/story/0,1282,-3679630,00.html

[maddezmom]

11. just saw that in LBN

that's a huge one for John Kerry :)

[Dark Star]

16. Yes, it is.

Of course, first I thought it was Van Clyburn :silly: .

:hi: , Maddy!

[jenk]

10. well, there is another scenario

Kerry might win SC, but what if Edwards takes Missouri or Oklahoma in a mild upset (he is close in polls)

I think each candidate is focusing on a few states they can safely win, Edwards has put resources and established a base in SC, so I don't know how stiff a challenge he'll face. Kerry might want to guarantee a victory in Arizona and Missouri so he won't bother paying much attention to Oklahoma and SC.

it's all a big chess game

[mmonk]

14. Edwards can hold off kerry if he runs hard in SC

and I think Clark can win Oklahoma. Everything is up for grabs, but if Kerry does sneak in a win there, most likely we can say he'll probably win the nomination.

[Dark Star]

17. But they kept yapping about how

important MO is!

Keep the faith...we can do it.

[PVnRT]

12. Fuck analysts

I am getting sick and tired of the "analysts" wanting everything wrapped up all nice and tidy by the first week of February.

Hell, why have primaries all over the country? Our votes shouldn't count - let's just let the first nine states decide our candidates and the rest of us can go along like obedient second-class citizens.

[Dark Star]

18. Why bother?

Just eliminate the middle people (voters) and let the pundits (s)elect our candidates.:mad:

[Jack_Dawson]

13. My Grandma gets more things right than analysts

:freak:

[kentuck]

15. I heard on C-SPAN that SC had more retired military than any other state

that should bode well for Kerry and Clark, I would think?