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How many times have I read in DU that Plame case will destroy the adminstration, that the stock market will collapse, that the Miers fiacso will once and for all discredit Bush, that Bush's declining poll numbers are sure to lead to progressive change, that the insurgency in Iraq is sure to cause the administration to fail, that the deficit will alienate even some consrevatives from the Republican Party?
While these things could add up to an American public that's fed up with Bush, the fact is that the Republicans have cleverly carved out a very large base of investors, racists, homophobes, hawks, and religious nuts. Furthermore, the right-wing is far better funded than progressives, has major media that is far more sympathetic, and may very well be able to manipulate the vote in a close election.
Let's stop kidding ourselves and pretending there are easy answers. Until progressives find away to turn the adminstration's failing into broad discontent and find some common themes to unite all of us, there is at least a 50-50 chance that we're going to be in the same mess after the next election. We are fighting a highly organized, extremely vicious Republican machine. It has already withstood lies to launch war, scandals among its friends that have destroyed the lives of retirees, deficits that threaten our future, and much more.
As I see it, they are politically smarter than us, and until we recognize the sophistication of their game, we don't stand a chance.
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