Prediction of the 2004 Election

[bbinacan]

Damn! This guy nailed it. We spent too much time in Florida when we should have been in Ohio. The only state he missed was Wisconsin. If we had this info early on, we could have focused on NM, OH, and IA.

http://www.federalreview.com/fedrevdata.htm

[Awsi Dooger]

1. That's by far the most accurate I've seen

Thanks for the link. Most of the percentages are very close, although Kerry winning Hawaii by less than 1 percent is a bit bizarre.

I was wrong about the Florida and Ohio situations, thinking we had more of a chance at Florida. I undervalued that the state economies were dramatically different, Florida much better and Ohio much worse than the national economy itself. That factor significantly impacted the way those two states voted, IMO.

[bbinacan]

2. As much as I hate to say it

the guy who did this is a Repug. Props to him, he called it.

[Awsi Dooger]

3. I presume we can trust the date

Looks more like November 10 than November 1, based on how accurate it is.