Perot was a strong candidate. I even briefly considered him before he pulled out. He actually lead the polling for a period. You have to admit that he was not a normal 3rd party candidate. He was kinda geeky, talked unlike a politician, very no-nonsense, and had these nifty charts to show how both parties were running us into the ground in a joint effort. Why do I point this out? Because it wasn't just people voting in protest to the other choices. He had a strong appeal to a wide range of voters. He then sabotaged himself and still managed to get 19% of the popular vote. So many of the people courting Perot went with Clinton including yours truly.
But the part that is amusing is when you compare Clinton's 43%, to other election year results when there was not a strong 3rd candidate, frankly I don't see the relevance. 43% is pretty damn good considering Perot's strength. Look don't take my word for any of this, I have attached some analysis for you to look at.
If you look here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_1992#Voter_demographicsClinton did very well with a wide spectrum of voter demographics. And Perot split votes from both candidates. Here is a section from the article:
Perot's almost 19% of the popular vote made him the most successful third-party presidential candidate in terms of popular vote since Theodore Roosevelt in the 1912 election. Some analysts believe that Perot acted as a spoiler in the election, primarily drawing votes away from Bush and allowing Clinton to win many states with less than a majority of votes.
However, exit polling indicated that Perot voters would have split their votes evenly among Clinton and Bush had Perot not been in the race, and an analysis by FairVote - Center for Voting and Democracy suggested that, while Bush would have won more electoral votes with Perot out of the race, he would not have gained enough to reverse Clinton's victory.<1> Perot managed to finish ahead of one of the two major party candidates in two states:
In Maine, Perot received 30.44% of the vote to Bush's 30.39% (Clinton won Maine with 38.77%); In Utah, Perot received 27.34% of the vote to Clinton's 24.65% (Bush won Utah with 43.36%).from:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_1992#ResultsNote the second bold section where Perot actually finished second in popular vote in two states but the winner was not the same major candidate.
Here is the FairVote report referenced in the above snippet:
http://www.fairvote.org/plurality/perot.htmAnalysis: Perotís vote totals in themselves likely did not cause Clinton to win. Even if all of these states had shifted to Bush and none of Bushís victories had been reversed (as seems plausible, in fact, as Bush won by less than 5% only in states that a Republican in a close election could expect to carry, particularly before some of the partisan shifts that took place later in the 1990s ñ Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, South Dakota and Virginia), Clinton still would have won the electoral college vote by 281 to 257. But such a result obviously would have made the race a good deal closer.
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Back to Abortion.
Abortion has been legal since what '72? Not that long really. There has been much analysis of where the nation stands on the debate and what has occurred since Roe v Wade. The consensus from what I can see, is that while a majority favors legal abortions, the issue is simply not in our favor in many regions of the country. In some purple states polls indicate a preference for some regulation of abortion, parental notification for instance. I believe many folks are not comfortable with the high numbers of abortions in this country and any efforts to reduce them would be received favorably in exactly the regions of the country we are weakest.
I don't see a Dem answering the question the way you suggested above either. I think it would be more along the lines of "always legal but rare". Many Dems might even suggest that they are personally opposed to abortions but favor keeping them legal. The Dems need to make a better case for keeping them legal by refreshing memories what it was like for women before Roe v Wade. I have complained about this before. We really suck on our preparation for winning this debate. You already see women starting to get serious again about this of course and that bodes well for the future.
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You know there were political activists before 1980. The conservative coalition was a factor before '92. I didn't say they had made huge gains in the major media by that time. But they were working through Churches both Catholic and Protestant and other grass-root efforts. They were relevant as demonstrated by the way the Republicans simply demolished us in '72, 80, 84, 88.