Study Paints Somber Portrait of Iraq despite statements by American pols

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NYT
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/09/world/middleeast/09report.html?ex=1145160000&en=e7424efd9bfd9cf0&ei=5009&partner=MSN_NYTHOME

U.S. Study Paints Somber Portrait of Iraqi Discord
By ERIC SCHMITT and EDWARD WONG
Published: April 9, 2006

WASHINGTON, April 8 — An internal staff report by the United States Embassy and the military command in Baghdad provides a sobering province-by-province snapshot of Iraq's political, economic and security situation, rating the overall stability of 6 of the 18 provinces "serious" and one "critical." The report is a counterpoint to some recent upbeat public statements by top American politicians and military officials.

The report, 10 pages of briefing points titled "Provincial Stability Assessment," underscores the shift in the nature of the Iraq war three years after the toppling of Saddam Hussein. Warnings of sectarian and ethnic frictions are raised in many regions, even in those provinces generally described as nonviolent by American officials.

There are alerts about the growing power of Iranian-backed religious Shiite parties, several of which the United States helped put into power, and rival militias in the south. The authors also point to the Arab-Kurdish fault line in the north as a major concern, with the two ethnicities vying for power in Mosul, where violence is rampant, and Kirkuk, whose oil fields are critical for jump-starting economic growth in Iraq.

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