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What percentage did Kucinich need in Iowa...

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iowapeacechief Donating Member (331 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 03:06 PM
Original message
What percentage did Kucinich need in Iowa...
...for YOU to think he had a chance?

He'd said he would start with a surprisingly strong showing in the Iowa caucuses and then would gain support slowly and steadily from there.

I want answers from those who say they like him and would support him--or would have supported him--if he had a chance of winning the nomination.
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. More than he got.
The exact number is slightly irrelevant, no?
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iowapeacechief Donating Member (331 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. If you think it's irrelevant, why did you answer?
I asked how much more.

Did you ever support him?

If so, I assume you would support him now if he were the frontrunner.

If so, would you have supported him two weeks ago if he had placed at 10 percent in Iowa?
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no name no slogan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. Due to the 15% rule, we'll never know how much support he had
I knew of counties in northern Iowa where he won 30% of the vote. Unfortunatly, with that stupin 15% rule, we'll never truly know how much support he did have.

I would put it at near 10%, if not higher, on average across the state. IMHO his deal with Edwards is what made Edwards into the "major" candidate he is today.
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iowapeacechief Donating Member (331 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Actually, we could learn initial support levels...
...by counting how many participants indicated Kucinich as first choice when they registered upon arrival at their caucus sites. It should be possible to find out from the Iowa Democratic Party.

As it was--yes, because of the 15-percent threshold at the precinct level--he placed at all in only 28 of the 99 counties.

The highest official count (measured in county convention delegates) was Jefferson County with 29 percent. But that was an anomaly because of the "meditator" community there. Otherwise, no county's official count was above 10 percent.

See http://desmoinesregister.com/extras/politics/caucus2004/countyresults.html .

How are you counting 30 percent in those counties you know about?
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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 03:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. He would have had to have exceeded expectations
Edited on Fri Feb-06-04 04:08 PM by Freddie Stubbs
Edwards was a winner in Iowa because no one ex
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iowapeacechief Donating Member (331 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-06-04 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Kucinich DID exceed expectations...
...by placing at 1 percent.

Are you saying the expectations were higher? (Whose?) If so, what percentage did Dennis need?
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iowapeacechief Donating Member (331 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-07-04 06:51 AM
Response to Original message
7. I'm still asking my "irrelevant" question...
kick
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