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I'd like to hear from someone who has been involved in exit polls about the effect early voting and absentee voting have on making the election day exit polls inaccurate.
In Watauga County, NC in 2004, the local Repubs were celebrating until the tide turned at the end of the night and our Dem County Commissioners, etc. won. Absentee ballots and early voting ballots are the last to be counted, so - depending on the size of that batch of ballots, exit polls could be totally overwhelmed at the end of the day. We Dems encouraged early voting.
It has long been Repub strategy to get their people to vote absentee or early. Then they can see who has or has not voted and focus on those who haven't to get them out on election day.
I know the Repugs use all kinds of devious methods to keep Democrats from voting and I don't trust electronic voting, but how much of the misleading exits polls that indicated a Dem win in 2004 were due to those Repubs who had voted early or absentee and just weren't present on election day for the pollsters to interview?
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