http://news.independent.co.uk/world/americas/story.jsp?story=489725Surely, it is among the most astounding political implosions of modern times. The conventional and hitherto almost infallible wisdom has been that the candidate who entered the new year ahead in the polls and with the most money invariably won his party's nomination to run for president.
Instead, in barely three weeks remarkable even by the volatile standards of America politics, Howard Dean has faded from overwhelming favourite to rank outsider. But however devastating his collapse, he has blazed the trail that could end with another Democrat recapturing the White House this November.
Eventually, Mr Dean's brutal honesty caught up with him. Saddam Hussein's capture would not make the US any safer, he said. True perhaps, but hardly a politic remark. He then suggested Osama bin Laden should enjoy due process. Next, the anti-establishment candidate secured the endorsement of the former vice president Al Gore, the supreme insider. The rebel lost some of his fire. Uncharacteristically, he began to pander, for instance suddenly talking about his religion in a bid to woo southern voters. He put in a couple of insipid debate performances, and grew snappy on the stump. Then on 19 January, the Iowa caucuses turned the Democratic race on its head. Much has been made of Mr Dean's post-defeat "I have a Scream" rant to campaign workers. Maybe it was overplayed by broadcast and 24 hour cable networks (clips of it were shown 633 times in four days). Inevitably, the episode was mercilessly pilloried on the internet and by late-night talk-show hosts.
But the real damage had been done earlier that evening, when Iowa's voters relegated Mr Dean to an abject third in the caucuses. Mr Kerry never looked back. In New Hampshire, a rash of red front-garden posters told the story, "Dated Dean. Married Kerry". Democrats in the two states of face-to-face politics had inspected the former Vermont governor and decided they did not want him to carry their standard for the presidency.